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Wk 5 · 2026

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets — Sun, Oct 11

Sun, Oct 11 · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ · CBS FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC North · 3-2
12
at
1:00pET
NYJ -2.5 · total 38.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential CLE by 0.2
AFC East · 2-3
17

What is at stake

An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Browns: -2.9#24
Efficiency margin
Jets: -4.8#29
Browns: -3.4#27
Offense
Jets: -4.0#30
Browns: +0.5#12
Defense
Jets: -0.8#20
Browns: 16.4
Points / game
Jets: 17.6
Browns: 22.3
Points allowed / game
Jets: 29.6
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Browns form

L 12-17at NYJW 27-24vs PITW 21-18vs CARW 23-19at TBL 10-34at JAX
2026 season

Jets form

W 17-12vs CLEL 12-23at CHIL 24-31at DETL 17-20vs GBW 23-10at TEN
2026 season

Browns this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Jets this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-1-1 · 75% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentBrownsJets
Titans
AFC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat W 23-10 preview
Raiders
AFC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Jets leads 9–5 · Jets has won the last 2
14 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.7 points toward Jets
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-11Browns 12 — 17 Jetsat NYJJets
20252025-11-09Browns 20 — 27 Jetsat NYJJets
20232023-12-28Jets 20 — 37 Brownsat CLEBrowns
20222022-09-18Jets 31 — 30 Brownsat CLEJets
20202020-12-27Browns 16 — 23 Jetsat NYJJets
20192019-09-16Browns 23 — 3 Jetsat NYJBrowns
20182018-09-20Jets 17 — 21 Brownsat CLEBrowns
20172017-10-08Jets 17 — 14 Brownsat CLEJets
20162016-10-30Jets 31 — 28 Brownsat CLEJets
20152015-09-13Browns 10 — 31 Jetsat NYJJets
20132013-12-22Browns 13 — 24 Jetsat NYJJets
20102010-11-14Jets 26 — 20 Brownsat CLEJets
20072007-12-09Browns 24 — 18 Jetsat NYJBrowns
20062006-10-29Jets 13 — 20 Brownsat CLEBrowns

Browns leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDeshaun Watson QB #480/115, 855 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
Shedeur Sanders QB #21/1, 0 YDS
RushingQuinshon Judkins RB #1059 CAR, 177 YDS, 1 TD
Deshaun Watson QB #431 CAR, 127 YDS
Jaleel McLaughlin RB #382 CAR, 31 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingDenzel Boston WR #1213 REC, 284 YDS, 2 TD
Harold Fannin Jr. TE #4417 REC, 153 YDS, 3 TD
KC Concepcion WR #117 REC, 144 YDS
Quinshon Judkins RB #1015 REC, 96 YDS
Defense
TacklesCarson Schwesinger LB #4935
Ronnie Hickman S #3324
Quincy Williams LB #523
SacksMason Graham DT #944
Isaiah McGuire DE #572
Maliek Collins DT #961
InterceptionsDenzel Ward CB #211
Grant Delpit S #91
Ronnie Hickman S #331

Jets leaders 2026 regular season

PassingGeno Smith QB #785/117, 902 YDS, 5 TD
RushingBreece Hall RB #2051 CAR, 163 YDS, 1 TD
Braelon Allen RB #033 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Geno Smith QB #713 CAR, 36 YDS
ReceivingGarrett Wilson WR #524 REC, 270 YDS, 2 TD
Kenyon Sadiq TE #1612 REC, 143 YDS, 1 TD
Isaiah Williams WR #1810 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
Adonai Mitchell WR #159 REC, 123 YDS
Defense
TacklesDemario Davis LB #5632
Jamien Sherwood LB #4431
Dane Belton S #630
SacksDemario Davis LB #562
Kingsley Enagbare LB #522
David Bailey LB #312
InterceptionsMinkah Fitzpatrick S #291
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.