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Wk 5 · 2026

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals — Sun, Oct 11

Sun, Oct 11 · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ · Fox FINAL

Weather

This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
NFC North · 3-2
45
at
4:25pET
DET -5.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings opened +8.5 · 3 toward ARI
Ratings differential DET by 6.4
NFC West · 1-4
21

What is at stake

An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Lions: +1.6#12
Efficiency margin
Cardinals: -6.5#31
Lions: +4.7#2
Offense
Cardinals: -1.2#23
Lions: -3.1#29
Defense
Cardinals: -5.3#32
Lions: 28.3
Points / game
Cardinals: 20.9
Lions: 24.3
Points allowed / game
Cardinals: 28.7
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Lions form

W 45-21at ARIL 26-32at CARW 31-24vs NYJL 31-41at BUFW 31-30vs NO
2026 season

Cardinals form

L 21-45vs DETL 24-36at NYGL 30-36at SFL 7-31vs SEAW 26-14at LAC
2026 season

Lions this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)

Cardinals this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentLionsCardinals
Saints
NFC
vs W 31-30 previewat Wk 16 · scheduled preview
Jets
AFC
vs W 31-24 previewvs Wk 15 · scheduled preview
Giants
NFC
vs Wk 16 · scheduled previewat L 24-36 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Cardinals leads 7–6 with 1 tie · Lions has won the last 4
14 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.8 points toward Cardinals
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-11Lions 45 — 21 Cardinalsat ARILions
20242024-09-22Lions 20 — 13 Cardinalsat ARILions
20212021-12-19Cardinals 12 — 30 Lionsat DETLions
20202020-09-27Lions 26 — 23 Cardinalsat ARILions
20192019-09-08Lions 27 — 27 Cardinalsat ARI
20182018-12-09Lions 17 — 3 Cardinalsat ARILions
20172017-09-10Cardinals 23 — 35 Lionsat DETLions
20152015-10-11Cardinals 42 — 17 Lionsat DETCardinals
20142014-11-16Lions 6 — 14 Cardinalsat ARICardinals
20132013-09-15Lions 21 — 25 Cardinalsat ARICardinals
20122012-12-16Lions 10 — 38 Cardinalsat ARICardinals
20092009-12-20Cardinals 31 — 24 Lionsat DETCardinals
20072007-11-11Lions 21 — 31 Cardinalsat ARICardinals
20062006-11-19Lions 10 — 17 Cardinalsat ARICardinals

Lions leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJared Goff QB #16109/161, 1214 YDS, 9 TD
RushingJahmyr Gibbs RB #080 CAR, 353 YDS, 5 TD
Sione Vaki RB #339 CAR, 40 YDS
Jared Goff QB #169 CAR, 15 YDS
ReceivingAmon-Ra St. Brown WR #1431 REC, 303 YDS, 5 TD
Jameson Williams WR #116 REC, 229 YDS
Sam LaPorta TE #8722 REC, 228 YDS, 2 TD
Jahmyr Gibbs RB #022 REC, 187 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesJack Campbell LB #4633
D.J. Reed CB #430
Chuck Clark S #3628
SacksAidan Hutchinson DE #973.5
DJ Wonnum LB #983
Alim McNeill DT #543
InterceptionsChuck Clark S #361
Derrick Barnes LB #551

Cardinals leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJacoby Brissett QB #7103/152, 818 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT
RushingJeremiyah Love RB #455 CAR, 223 YDS, 1 TD
Tyler Allgeier RB #2232 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
Jacoby Brissett QB #715 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingMichael Wilson WR #1425 REC, 258 YDS, 1 TD
Trey McBride TE #8533 REC, 242 YDS, 2 TD
Kendrick Bourne WR #1712 REC, 108 YDS
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR #185 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJack Gibbens LB #5032
Mack Wilson Sr. LB #128
Budda Baker S #325
SacksBudda Baker S #31.5
Josh Sweat LB #101
Zaven Collins LB #251
InterceptionsBudda Baker S #31
Andrew Wingard S #271
Denzel Burke CB #291
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.