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Wk 2 · 2026

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs — Sun, Sep 20

Sun, Sep 20 · Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO · NBC

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 23 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC South · no games yet
at
8:20pET
KC -6.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential KC by 4.6
AFC West · no games yet

What is at stake

An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Colts: -0.7#20
Efficiency margin
Chiefs: +2.2#12
Colts: +0.5#14
Offense
Chiefs: +0.3#15
Colts: -1.2#24
Defense
Chiefs: +1.9#5
Colts: 27.4
Points / game
Chiefs: 21.3
Colts: 24.2
Points allowed / game
Chiefs: 19.3
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Colts form

No completed games on record.

Chiefs form

No completed games on record.

Colts this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Chiefs this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentColtsChiefs
Dolphins
AFC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 3 · scheduled preview
Bengals
AFC
vs Wk 16 · scheduled previewat Wk 14 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Colts leads 8–4 · Chiefs won the last one
12 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 1.7 points toward Colts
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-23Colts 2023 Chiefsat KCChiefs
20222022-09-25Chiefs 1720 Coltsat INDColts
20192019-10-06Colts 1913 Chiefsat KCColts
20182019-01-12Colts 1331 Chiefsat KCChiefs playoffs
20162016-10-30Chiefs 3014 Coltsat INDChiefs
20132014-01-04Chiefs 4445 Coltsat INDColts playoffs
20132013-12-22Colts 237 Chiefsat KCColts
20122012-12-23Colts 2013 Chiefsat KCColts
20112011-10-09Chiefs 2824 Coltsat INDChiefs
20102010-10-10Chiefs 919 Coltsat INDColts
20072007-11-18Chiefs 1013 Coltsat INDColts
20062007-01-06Chiefs 823 Coltsat INDColts playoffs

Colts leaders 2025 regular season

PassingDaniel Jones QB #17261/384, 3101 YDS, 19 TD, 8 INT
Philip Rivers QB #1758/92, 544 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
RushingJonathan Taylor RB #28323 CAR, 1585 YDS, 18 TD
Daniel Jones QB #1745 CAR, 164 YDS, 5 TD
DJ Giddens RB #2126 CAR, 96 YDS
ReceivingAlec Pierce WR #1447 REC, 1003 YDS, 6 TD
Tyler Warren TE #8476 REC, 817 YDS, 4 TD
Michael Pittman Jr. WR #1180 REC, 784 YDS, 7 TD
Josh Downs WR #258 REC, 566 YDS, 4 TD
Defense
TacklesZaire Franklin LB #44125
Nick Cross S #25120
Germaine Pratt LB #53101
SacksLaiatu Latu DE #978.5
DeForest Buckner DT #994
Kwity Paye DE #954
InterceptionsCam Bynum S #04
Laiatu Latu DE #973
Mekhi Blackmon CB #292

Chiefs leaders 2025 regular season

PassingPatrick Mahomes QB #15315/502, 3587 YDS, 22 TD, 11 INT
Chris Oladokun QB #1935/55, 235 YDS, 1 TD
RushingKareem Hunt RB #29163 CAR, 611 YDS, 8 TD
Isiah Pacheco RB #10118 CAR, 462 YDS, 1 TD
Patrick Mahomes QB #1564 CAR, 422 YDS, 5 TD
ReceivingTravis Kelce TE #8776 REC, 851 YDS, 5 TD
Hollywood Brown WR #049 REC, 587 YDS, 5 TD
Rashee Rice WR #453 REC, 571 YDS, 5 TD
Xavier Worthy WR #142 REC, 532 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesNick Bolton LB #32154
Chamarri Conner S #27117
Drue Tranquill LB #23103
SacksChris Jones DT #957
George Karlaftis DE #566
Charles Omenihu DE #903.5
InterceptionsJaylen Watson CB #352
Mike Danna DE #511
Jack Cochrane LB #431
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.