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Wk 3 · 2026

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins — Sun, Sep 27

Sun, Sep 27 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL · CBS FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC West · 4-0
24
at
1:00pET
KC -10 · total 45.5 DraftKings opened +7.5 · 2.5 toward KC
Ratings differential KC by 8.3
AFC East · 0-5
10

What is at stake

An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Chiefs: +4.2#7
Efficiency margin
Dolphins: -5.9#30
Chiefs: +1.8#12
Offense
Dolphins: -4.3#31
Chiefs: +2.4#7
Defense
Dolphins: -1.5#25
Chiefs: 21.3
Points / game
Dolphins: 20.4
Chiefs: 19.3
Points allowed / game
Dolphins: 24.9
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Chiefs form

W 30-27at LVW 24-10at MIAW 33-30vs INDW 31-10vs DEN
2026 season

Dolphins form

L 24-31vs CINL 10-15at MINL 10-24vs KCL 13-35at SFL 13-27at LV
2026 season

Chiefs this season

Straight up4-0 · 100% (4 games)
Against the spread2-2 · 50% (4 games)
Over / under2-2 · 50% (4 games)

Dolphins this season

Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 9

OpponentChiefsDolphins
Broncos
AFC
vs W 31-10 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Colts
AFC
vs W 33-30 previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Raiders
AFC
at W 30-27 previewat L 13-27 preview
Chargers
AFC
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewvs Wk 16 · scheduled preview
Jets
AFC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Bills
AFC
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Bengals
AFC
at Wk 14 · scheduled previewvs L 24-31 preview
Patriots
AFC
vs Wk 15 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
49ers
NFC
vs Wk 16 · scheduled previewat L 13-35 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Chiefs leads 6–3 · Chiefs has won the last 6
9 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.8 points toward Chiefs
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-27Chiefs 24 — 10 Dolphinsat MIAChiefs
20232024-01-13Dolphins 7 — 26 Chiefsat KCChiefs playoffs
20232023-11-05Dolphins 14 — 21 ChiefsneutralChiefs
20202020-12-13Chiefs 33 — 27 Dolphinsat MIAChiefs
20172017-12-24Dolphins 13 — 29 Chiefsat KCChiefs
20142014-09-21Chiefs 34 — 15 Dolphinsat MIAChiefs
20112011-11-06Dolphins 31 — 3 Chiefsat KCDolphins
20082008-12-21Dolphins 38 — 31 Chiefsat KCDolphins
20062006-11-12Chiefs 10 — 13 Dolphinsat MIADolphins

Chiefs leaders 2026 regular season

PassingPatrick Mahomes QB #1582/128, 1037 YDS, 9 TD, 2 INT
RushingKenneth Walker III RB #987 CAR, 537 YDS, 4 TD
Emmett Johnson RB #1016 CAR, 56 YDS
Patrick Mahomes QB #1512 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingTravis Kelce TE #8716 REC, 246 YDS, 2 TD
Tyquan Thornton WR #211 REC, 219 YDS, 2 TD
Rashee Rice WR #413 REC, 190 YDS, 1 TD
Xavier Worthy WR #114 REC, 133 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesNick Bolton LB #3237
Drue Tranquill LB #2329
L'Jarius Sneed CB #3825
SacksNohl Williams CB #201
Felix Anudike-Uzomah DE #911
R Mason Thomas DE #511
InterceptionsKristian Fulton CB #81
George Karlaftis DE #561
Xavier Nwankpa S #291

Dolphins leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMalik Willis QB #258/103, 712 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingOllie Gordon II RB #029 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD
De'Von Achane RB #2834 CAR, 127 YDS
Malik Willis QB #219 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingMalik Washington WR #617 REC, 219 YDS
Caleb Douglas WR #77 REC, 113 YDS
Ryan Miller WR #843 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Bell WR #185 REC, 92 YDS
Defense
TacklesJacob Rodriguez LB #1046
Jordyn Brooks LB #2035
Michael Taaffe S #3128
SacksZach Sieler DT #922
Josh Uche LB #91
Chop Robinson LB #441
InterceptionsDante Trader Jr. S #111
Jacob Rodriguez LB #101
Michael Taaffe S #311
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.