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Wk 5 · 2026

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers — Sun, Oct 11

Sun, Oct 11 · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA · CBS

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 44 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC South · no games yet
at
1:00pET
PIT -2.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential PIT by 1.4
AFC North · no games yet

What is at stake

An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Colts: -0.7#20
Efficiency margin
Steelers: -1.0#21
Colts: +0.5#14
Offense
Steelers: -1.7#24
Colts: -1.2#24
Defense
Steelers: +0.7#10
Colts: 27.4
Points / game
Steelers: 23.4
Colts: 24.2
Points allowed / game
Steelers: 22.8
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Colts form

No completed games on record.

Steelers form

No completed games on record.

Colts this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Steelers this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 7

OpponentColtsSteelers
Ravens
AFC
vs Wk 1 · scheduled previewvs Wk 15 · scheduled preview
Texans
AFC
vs Wk 3 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Titans
AFC
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 17 · scheduled preview
Jaguars
AFC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 14 · scheduled preview
Eagles
NFC
at Wk 14 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Bengals
AFC
vs Wk 16 · scheduled previewvs Wk 3 · scheduled preview
Browns
AFC
at Wk 17 · scheduled previewat Wk 4 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Steelers leads 9–3 · Steelers won the last one
12 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.2 points toward Steelers
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-02Colts 2027 Steelersat PITSteelers
20242024-09-29Steelers 2427 Coltsat INDColts
20232023-12-16Steelers 1330 Coltsat INDColts
20222022-11-28Steelers 2417 Coltsat INDSteelers
20202020-12-27Colts 2428 Steelersat PITSteelers
20192019-11-03Colts 2426 Steelersat PITSteelers
20172017-11-12Steelers 2017 Coltsat INDSteelers
20162016-11-24Steelers 287 Coltsat INDSteelers
20152015-12-06Colts 1045 Steelersat PITSteelers
20142014-10-26Colts 3451 Steelersat PITSteelers
20112011-09-25Steelers 2320 Coltsat INDSteelers
20082008-11-09Colts 2420 Steelersat PITColts

Colts leaders 2025 regular season

PassingDaniel Jones QB #17261/384, 3101 YDS, 19 TD, 8 INT
Philip Rivers QB #1758/92, 544 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
RushingJonathan Taylor RB #28323 CAR, 1585 YDS, 18 TD
Daniel Jones QB #1745 CAR, 164 YDS, 5 TD
DJ Giddens RB #2126 CAR, 96 YDS
ReceivingAlec Pierce WR #1447 REC, 1003 YDS, 6 TD
Tyler Warren TE #8476 REC, 817 YDS, 4 TD
Michael Pittman Jr. WR #1180 REC, 784 YDS, 7 TD
Josh Downs WR #258 REC, 566 YDS, 4 TD
Defense
TacklesZaire Franklin LB #44125
Nick Cross S #25120
Germaine Pratt LB #53101
SacksLaiatu Latu DE #978.5
DeForest Buckner DT #994
Kwity Paye DE #954
InterceptionsCam Bynum S #04
Laiatu Latu DE #973
Mekhi Blackmon CB #292

Steelers leaders 2025 regular season

PassingAaron Rodgers QB #8327/498, 3322 YDS, 24 TD, 7 INT
Mason Rudolph QB #238/52, 310 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
RushingJaylen Warren RB #30211 CAR, 958 YDS, 6 TD
Kenny Gainwell RB #1114 CAR, 537 YDS, 5 TD
Jonnu Smith TE #819 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingDK Metcalf WR #459 REC, 850 YDS, 6 TD
Pat Freiermuth TE #8841 REC, 486 YDS, 4 TD
Kenny Gainwell RB #173 REC, 486 YDS, 3 TD
Calvin Austin III WR #8231 REC, 372 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesPayton Wilson LB #41126
Patrick Queen LB #6120
Jalen Ramsey CB #588
SacksAlex Highsmith LB #569.5
Nick Herbig LB #517.5
T.J. Watt LB #907
InterceptionsT.J. Watt LB #902
Kyle Dugger S #292
Jack Sawyer LB #332
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.