Wk 10 · 2026
Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons — Sun, Nov 15
Sun, Nov 15 ·
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
· CBS
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
AFC West · 4-0
at
1:00pET
KC -4.5 · total 45.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential KC by 2.8
NFC South · 2-3
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Chiefs form
W 30-27at LVW 24-10at MIAW 33-30vs INDW 31-10vs DEN
2026 season
Falcons form
L 23-30vs BALW 45-24at NOW 35-14at GBL 3-34vs CARL 13-20at PIT
2026 season
Chiefs this season
Straight up4-0 · 100% (4 games)
Against the spread2-2 · 50% (4 games)
Over / under2-2 · 50% (4 games)
Falcons this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 2
| Opponent | Chiefs | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Bengals AFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | N Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| 49ers NFC | vs Wk 16 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Chiefs leads 3–2 · Chiefs has won the last 3
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.2 points toward Falcons
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-09-22 | Chiefs 22 — 17 Falcons | at ATL | Chiefs |
| 2020 | 2020-12-27 | Falcons 14 — 17 Chiefs | at KC | Chiefs |
| 2016 | 2016-12-04 | Chiefs 29 — 28 Falcons | at ATL | Chiefs |
| 2012 | 2012-09-09 | Falcons 40 — 24 Chiefs | at KC | Falcons |
| 2008 | 2008-09-21 | Chiefs 14 — 38 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
Chiefs leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Patrick Mahomes QB #15 | 82/128, 1037 YDS, 9 TD, 2 INT |
| Rushing | Kenneth Walker III RB #9 | 87 CAR, 537 YDS, 4 TD |
| Emmett Johnson RB #10 | 16 CAR, 56 YDS | |
| Patrick Mahomes QB #15 | 12 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Travis Kelce TE #87 | 16 REC, 246 YDS, 2 TD |
| Tyquan Thornton WR #2 | 11 REC, 219 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rashee Rice WR #4 | 13 REC, 190 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Xavier Worthy WR #1 | 14 REC, 133 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Nick Bolton LB #32 | 37 |
| Drue Tranquill LB #23 | 29 | |
| L'Jarius Sneed CB #38 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Nohl Williams CB #20 | 1 |
| Felix Anudike-Uzomah DE #91 | 1 | |
| R Mason Thomas DE #51 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Kristian Fulton CB #8 | 1 |
| George Karlaftis DE #56 | 1 | |
| Xavier Nwankpa S #29 | 1 |
Falcons leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 33/45, 479 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 22/39, 229 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 85 CAR, 494 YDS, 4 TD |
| Brian Robinson Jr. RB #15 | 44 CAR, 194 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 2 CAR, 20 YDS | |
| Receiving | Drake London WR #5 | 20 REC, 370 YDS |
| Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 14 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jahan Dotson WR #4 | 6 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. TE #8 | 5 REC, 67 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Xavier Watts S #31 | 24 |
| C.J. Henderson CB #26 | 23 | |
| Mike Hughes CB #21 | 19 | |
| Sacks | Za'Darius Smith DE #91 | 2.5 |
| Samson Ebukam DE #52 | 1.5 | |
| Cameron Thomas DE #99 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier Watts S #31 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.