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Wk 1 · 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals — Sun, Sep 13

Sun, Sep 13 · Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH · Fox FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NFC South · 1-4
27
at
1:00pET
CIN -3.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential CIN by 5.3
AFC North · 3-2
33

What is at stake

An interconference game, NFC against AFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Buccaneers: -2.3#21
Efficiency margin
Bengals: +1.2#14
Buccaneers: -2.0#25
Offense
Bengals: +2.3#8
Buccaneers: -0.3#18
Defense
Bengals: -1.0#21
Buccaneers: 22.4
Points / game
Bengals: 24.4
Buccaneers: 24.2
Points allowed / game
Bengals: 28.9
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Buccaneers form

W 24-16at DALL 14-17vs GBL 16-23vs MINL 19-23vs CLEL 27-33at CIN
2026 season

Bengals form

W 31-24at MIAL 17-22vs JAXL 27-30at PITW 20-6at HOUW 33-27vs TB
2026 season

Buccaneers this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Bengals this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-2-1 · 50% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentBuccaneersBengals
Browns
AFC
vs L 19-23 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Steelers
AFC
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewat L 27-30 preview
Panthers
NFC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 15 · scheduled preview
Falcons
NFC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewN Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Ravens
AFC
at Wk 14 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Saints
NFC
vs Wk 15 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Bengals leads 4–2 · Bengals has won the last 4
6 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.8 points toward Bengals
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-13Buccaneers 27 — 33 Bengalsat CINBengals
20222022-12-18Bengals 34 — 23 Buccaneersat TBBengals
20182018-10-28Buccaneers 34 — 37 Bengalsat CINBengals
20142014-11-30Bengals 14 — 13 Buccaneersat TBBengals
20102010-10-10Buccaneers 24 — 21 Bengalsat CINBuccaneers
20062006-10-15Bengals 13 — 14 Buccaneersat TBBuccaneers

Buccaneers leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBaker Mayfield QB #661/96, 615 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
Jalon Daniels QB #1019/30, 148 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
RushingBucky Irving RB #756 CAR, 241 YDS, 1 TD
Baker Mayfield QB #611 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
Jalon Daniels QB #109 CAR, 64 YDS
ReceivingCade Otton TE #8815 REC, 157 YDS
Emeka Egbuka WR #215 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Godwin Jr. WR #1416 REC, 142 YDS
Ted Hurst III WR #178 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJosiah Trotter LB #4534
Antoine Winfield Jr. S #3124
Alex Anzalone LB #3422
SacksDavid Walker LB #512
Alex Anzalone LB #341
A'Shawn Robinson DT #911
InterceptionsA'Shawn Robinson DT #911
Josiah Trotter LB #451
Jacob Parrish CB #251

Bengals leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJoe Burrow QB #9112/157, 1171 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
RushingChase Brown RB #3058 CAR, 207 YDS, 1 TD
Samaje Perine RB #3413 CAR, 42 YDS
Joe Burrow QB #911 CAR, 38 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingTee Higgins WR #525 REC, 401 YDS, 1 TD
Ja'Marr Chase WR #121 REC, 212 YDS, 3 TD
Mike Gesicki TE #8811 REC, 155 YDS, 3 TD
Dohnte Meyers WR #8111 REC, 129 YDS
Defense
TacklesDemetrius Knight Jr. LB #4434
Barrett Carter LB #4930
Jordan Battle S #2727
SacksDexter Lawrence II DT #973
Jonathan Allen DT #932
Boye Mafe DE #532
InterceptionsJordan Battle S #271
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.