Wk 15 · 2026
New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Sun, Dec 20
Sun, Dec 20 ·
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
· Fox
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 65 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NFC South · 1-4
at
1:00pET
TB -3.5 · total 45.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential TB by 3.2
NFC South · 1-4
What is at stake
An NFC South game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the NFC South finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Saints form
L 13-23vs MINL 24-45vs ATLL 27-35vs LVW 24-17at BALL 30-31at DET
2026 season
Buccaneers form
W 24-16at DALL 14-17vs GBL 16-23vs MINL 19-23vs CLEL 27-33at CIN
2026 season
Saints this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Buccaneers this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 10
| Opponent | Saints | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Lions NFC | at L 30-31 preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Ravens AFC | at W 24-17 preview | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Falcons NFC | vs L 24-45 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Vikings NFC | vs L 13-23 preview | vs L 16-23 preview |
| Steelers AFC | N Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Browns AFC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs L 19-23 preview |
| Panthers NFC | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Bengals AFC | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at L 27-33 preview |
| Packers NFC | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs L 14-17 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Saints leads 24–17 · Saints won the last one
41 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.0 points toward Saints
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-12-07 | Saints 24 — 20 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2025 | 2025-10-26 | Buccaneers 23 — 3 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2024 | 2025-01-05 | Saints 19 — 27 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2024 | 2024-10-13 | Buccaneers 51 — 27 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Saints 23 — 13 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2023 | 2023-10-01 | Buccaneers 26 — 9 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2022 | 2022-12-05 | Saints 16 — 17 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2022 | 2022-09-18 | Buccaneers 20 — 10 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2021 | 2021-12-19 | Saints 9 — 0 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2021 | 2021-10-31 | Buccaneers 27 — 36 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2020 | 2021-01-17 | Buccaneers 30 — 20 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers playoffs |
| 2020 | 2020-11-08 | Saints 38 — 3 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2020 | 2020-09-13 | Buccaneers 23 — 34 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2019 | 2019-11-17 | Saints 34 — 17 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2019 | 2019-10-06 | Buccaneers 24 — 31 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2018 | 2018-12-09 | Saints 28 — 14 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2018 | 2018-09-09 | Buccaneers 48 — 40 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2017 | 2017-12-31 | Saints 24 — 31 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2017 | 2017-11-05 | Buccaneers 10 — 30 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2016 | 2016-12-24 | Buccaneers 24 — 31 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2016 | 2016-12-11 | Saints 11 — 16 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2015 | 2015-12-13 | Saints 24 — 17 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2015 | 2015-09-20 | Buccaneers 26 — 19 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2014 | 2014-12-28 | Saints 23 — 20 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2014 | 2014-10-05 | Buccaneers 31 — 37 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2013 | 2013-12-29 | Buccaneers 17 — 42 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2013 | 2013-09-15 | Saints 16 — 14 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2012 | 2012-12-16 | Buccaneers 0 — 41 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2012 | 2012-10-21 | Saints 35 — 28 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2011 | 2011-11-06 | Buccaneers 16 — 27 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2011 | 2011-10-16 | Saints 20 — 26 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2010 | 2011-01-02 | Buccaneers 23 — 13 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2010 | 2010-10-17 | Saints 31 — 6 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2009 | 2009-12-27 | Buccaneers 20 — 17 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2009 | 2009-11-22 | Saints 38 — 7 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2008 | 2008-11-30 | Saints 20 — 23 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2008 | 2008-09-07 | Buccaneers 20 — 24 Saints | at NO | Saints |
| 2007 | 2007-12-02 | Buccaneers 27 — 23 Saints | at NO | Buccaneers |
| 2007 | 2007-09-16 | Saints 14 — 31 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2006 | 2006-11-05 | Saints 31 — 14 Buccaneers | at TB | Saints |
| 2006 | 2006-10-08 | Buccaneers 21 — 24 Saints | at NO | Saints |
Saints leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Tyler Shough QB #6 | 121/180, 1203 YDS, 9 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | Travis Etienne Jr. RB #3 | 30 CAR, 128 YDS |
| Alvin Kamara RB #41 | 25 CAR, 74 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Tyler Shough QB #6 | 16 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Chris Olave WR #12 | 35 REC, 491 YDS, 1 TD |
| Juwan Johnson TE #83 | 21 REC, 232 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Devaughn Vele WR #14 | 21 REC, 226 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Noah Fant TE #87 | 8 REC, 66 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jonas Sanker S #7 | 26 |
| Pete Werner LB #20 | 25 | |
| Kaden Elliss LB #55 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Chase Young DE #99 | 3.5 |
| Carl Granderson DE #96 | 1 | |
| Pete Werner LB #20 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Julian Blackmon S #23 | 1 |
Buccaneers leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Baker Mayfield QB #6 | 61/96, 615 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT |
| Jalon Daniels QB #10 | 19/30, 148 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Bucky Irving RB #7 | 56 CAR, 241 YDS, 1 TD |
| Baker Mayfield QB #6 | 11 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jalon Daniels QB #10 | 9 CAR, 64 YDS | |
| Receiving | Cade Otton TE #88 | 15 REC, 157 YDS |
| Emeka Egbuka WR #2 | 15 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Chris Godwin Jr. WR #14 | 16 REC, 142 YDS | |
| Ted Hurst III WR #17 | 8 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Josiah Trotter LB #45 | 34 |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. S #31 | 24 | |
| Alex Anzalone LB #34 | 22 | |
| Sacks | David Walker LB #51 | 2 |
| Alex Anzalone LB #34 | 1 | |
| A'Shawn Robinson DT #91 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | A'Shawn Robinson DT #91 | 1 |
| Josiah Trotter LB #45 | 1 | |
| Jacob Parrish CB #25 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.