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Wk 5 · 2026

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins — Sun, Oct 11

Sun, Oct 11 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL · Fox FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC North · 3-2
31
at
1:00pET
CIN -7 · total 44.5 DraftKings opened +6 · 1 toward CIN
Ratings differential CIN by 5.4
AFC East · 0-5
24

What is at stake

An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Bengals: +1.2#14
Efficiency margin
Dolphins: -5.9#30
Bengals: +2.3#8
Offense
Dolphins: -4.3#31
Bengals: -1.0#21
Defense
Dolphins: -1.5#25
Bengals: 24.4
Points / game
Dolphins: 20.4
Bengals: 28.9
Points allowed / game
Dolphins: 24.9
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Bengals form

W 31-24at MIAL 17-22vs JAXL 27-30at PITW 20-6at HOUW 33-27vs TB
2026 season

Dolphins form

L 24-31vs CINL 10-15at MINL 10-24vs KCL 13-35at SFL 13-27at LV
2026 season

Bengals this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-2-1 · 50% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Dolphins this season

Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentBengalsDolphins
Chiefs
AFC
vs Wk 14 · scheduled previewvs L 10-24 preview
Colts
AFC
at Wk 16 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Bengals leads 6–5 · Bengals has won the last 3
11 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.7 points toward Bengals
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-11Bengals 31 — 24 Dolphinsat MIABengals
20252025-12-21Bengals 45 — 21 Dolphinsat MIABengals
20222022-09-29Dolphins 15 — 27 Bengalsat CINBengals
20202020-12-06Bengals 7 — 19 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20192019-12-22Bengals 35 — 38 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20182018-10-07Dolphins 17 — 27 Bengalsat CINBengals
20162016-09-29Dolphins 7 — 22 Bengalsat CINBengals
20132013-10-31Bengals 20 — 22 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20122012-10-07Dolphins 17 — 13 Bengalsat CINDolphins
20102010-10-31Dolphins 22 — 14 Bengalsat CINDolphins
20072007-12-30Bengals 38 — 25 Dolphinsat MIABengals

Bengals leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJoe Burrow QB #9112/157, 1171 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
RushingChase Brown RB #3058 CAR, 207 YDS, 1 TD
Samaje Perine RB #3413 CAR, 42 YDS
Joe Burrow QB #911 CAR, 38 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingTee Higgins WR #525 REC, 401 YDS, 1 TD
Ja'Marr Chase WR #121 REC, 212 YDS, 3 TD
Mike Gesicki TE #8811 REC, 155 YDS, 3 TD
Dohnte Meyers WR #8111 REC, 129 YDS
Defense
TacklesDemetrius Knight Jr. LB #4434
Barrett Carter LB #4930
Jordan Battle S #2727
SacksDexter Lawrence II DT #973
Jonathan Allen DT #932
Boye Mafe DE #532
InterceptionsJordan Battle S #271

Dolphins leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMalik Willis QB #258/103, 712 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingOllie Gordon II RB #029 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD
De'Von Achane RB #2834 CAR, 127 YDS
Malik Willis QB #219 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingMalik Washington WR #617 REC, 219 YDS
Caleb Douglas WR #77 REC, 113 YDS
Ryan Miller WR #843 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Bell WR #185 REC, 92 YDS
Defense
TacklesJacob Rodriguez LB #1046
Jordyn Brooks LB #2035
Michael Taaffe S #3128
SacksZach Sieler DT #922
Josh Uche LB #91
Chop Robinson LB #441
InterceptionsDante Trader Jr. S #111
Jacob Rodriguez LB #101
Michael Taaffe S #311
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.