Wk 4 · 2026
Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers — Sun, Oct 4
Sun, Oct 4 ·
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
· CBS FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
4:25pET
SF -3 · total 48.5 DraftKings opened -2.5 · 0.5 toward SF
Ratings differential SF by 6.2
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Broncos form
W 17-14vs SEAW 23-17at LACL 14-24at SFW 30-26vs LARW 20-13vs JAX
2026 season
49ers form
W 32-29at SEAW 24-14vs DENW 36-30vs ARIW 35-13vs MIAW 27-7at LAR
2026 season
Broncos this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
49ers this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Broncos | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Chiefs AFC | at L 10-31 preview | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview |
| Rams NFC | vs W 30-26 preview | N W 27-7 preview |
| Chargers AFC | at W 23-17 preview | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview |
| Seahawks NFC | vs W 17-14 preview | at W 32-29 preview |
| Cardinals NFC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs W 36-30 preview |
| Raiders AFC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Dolphins AFC | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs W 35-13 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, 49ers leads 4–2 · 49ers won the last one
6 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.2 points toward 49ers
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-04 | Broncos 14 — 24 49ers | at SF | 49ers |
| 2022 | 2022-09-25 | 49ers 10 — 11 Broncos | at DEN | Broncos |
| 2018 | 2018-12-09 | Broncos 14 — 20 49ers | at SF | 49ers |
| 2014 | 2014-10-19 | 49ers 17 — 42 Broncos | at DEN | Broncos |
| 2010 | 2010-10-31 | Broncos 16 — 24 49ers | at SF | 49ers |
| 2006 | 2006-12-31 | 49ers 26 — 23 Broncos | at DEN | 49ers |
Broncos leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Bo Nix QB #10 | 81/135, 819 YDS, 5 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | J.K. Dobbins RB #27 | 46 CAR, 161 YDS |
| RJ Harvey RB #12 | 12 CAR, 49 YDS | |
| Jonah Coleman RB #20 | 10 CAR, 39 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Jaylen Waddle WR #17 | 16 REC, 185 YDS, 1 TD |
| Pat Bryant WR #13 | 9 REC, 133 YDS, 1 TD | |
| RJ Harvey RB #12 | 20 REC, 132 YDS | |
| Courtland Sutton WR #14 | 9 REC, 86 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Alex Singleton LB #49 | 47 |
| Brandon Jones S #22 | 31 | |
| Talanoa Hufanga S #9 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Zach Allen DE #99 | 3 |
| Malcolm Roach DT #97 | 1 | |
| Eyioma Uwazurike DE #96 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Talanoa Hufanga S #9 | 2 |
| Brandon Jones S #22 | 1 | |
| Riley Moss CB #21 | 1 |
49ers leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Brock Purdy QB #13 | 79/113, 1007 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT |
| Rushing | Christian McCaffrey RB #23 | 50 CAR, 218 YDS, 4 TD |
| Brock Purdy QB #13 | 20 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kaelon Black RB #26 | 31 CAR, 120 YDS | |
| Receiving | George Kittle TE #85 | 16 REC, 244 YDS, 4 TD |
| Mike Evans WR #5 | 17 REC, 213 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. WR #19 | 14 REC, 185 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Christian McCaffrey RB #23 | 16 REC, 122 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Fred Warner LB #54 | 40 |
| Dre Greenlaw LB #57 | 34 | |
| Ji'Ayir Brown S #27 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Keion White DE #56 | 2 |
| Ogbo Okoronkwo LB #59 | 1 | |
| Romello Height DE #94 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Renardo Green CB #0 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.