Wk 11 · 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions — Sun, Nov 22
Sun, Nov 22 ·
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
· CBS
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
NFC South · 1-4
at
1:00pET
DET -4.5 · total 49.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential DET by 5.6
NFC North · 3-2
What is at stake
An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Buccaneers form
W 24-16at DALL 14-17vs GBL 16-23vs MINL 19-23vs CLEL 27-33at CIN
2026 season
Lions form
W 45-21at ARIL 26-32at CARW 31-24vs NYJL 31-41at BUFW 31-30vs NO
2026 season
Buccaneers this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lions this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Buccaneers | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Vikings NFC | vs L 16-23 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | vs L 14-17 preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Panthers NFC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at L 26-32 preview |
| Falcons NFC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Saints NFC | vs Wk 15 · scheduled preview | vs W 31-30 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Lions leads 8–5 · Lions won the last one
13 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.9 points toward Buccaneers
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-20 | Buccaneers 9 — 24 Lions | at DET | Lions |
| 2024 | 2024-09-15 | Buccaneers 20 — 16 Lions | at DET | Buccaneers |
| 2023 | 2024-01-21 | Buccaneers 23 — 31 Lions | at DET | Lions playoffs |
| 2023 | 2023-10-15 | Lions 20 — 6 Buccaneers | at TB | Lions |
| 2020 | 2020-12-26 | Buccaneers 47 — 7 Lions | at DET | Buccaneers |
| 2019 | 2019-12-15 | Buccaneers 38 — 17 Lions | at DET | Buccaneers |
| 2017 | 2017-12-10 | Lions 24 — 21 Buccaneers | at TB | Lions |
| 2014 | 2014-12-07 | Buccaneers 17 — 34 Lions | at DET | Lions |
| 2013 | 2013-11-24 | Buccaneers 24 — 21 Lions | at DET | Buccaneers |
| 2011 | 2011-09-11 | Lions 27 — 20 Buccaneers | at TB | Lions |
| 2010 | 2010-12-19 | Lions 23 — 20 Buccaneers | at TB | Lions |
| 2008 | 2008-11-23 | Buccaneers 38 — 20 Lions | at DET | Buccaneers |
| 2007 | 2007-10-21 | Buccaneers 16 — 23 Lions | at DET | Lions |
Buccaneers leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Baker Mayfield QB #6 | 61/96, 615 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT |
| Jalon Daniels QB #10 | 19/30, 148 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Bucky Irving RB #7 | 56 CAR, 241 YDS, 1 TD |
| Baker Mayfield QB #6 | 11 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jalon Daniels QB #10 | 9 CAR, 64 YDS | |
| Receiving | Cade Otton TE #88 | 15 REC, 157 YDS |
| Emeka Egbuka WR #2 | 15 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Chris Godwin Jr. WR #14 | 16 REC, 142 YDS | |
| Ted Hurst III WR #17 | 8 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Josiah Trotter LB #45 | 34 |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. S #31 | 24 | |
| Alex Anzalone LB #34 | 22 | |
| Sacks | David Walker LB #51 | 2 |
| Alex Anzalone LB #34 | 1 | |
| A'Shawn Robinson DT #91 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | A'Shawn Robinson DT #91 | 1 |
| Josiah Trotter LB #45 | 1 | |
| Jacob Parrish CB #25 | 1 |
Lions leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jared Goff QB #16 | 109/161, 1214 YDS, 9 TD |
| Rushing | Jahmyr Gibbs RB #0 | 80 CAR, 353 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sione Vaki RB #33 | 9 CAR, 40 YDS | |
| Jared Goff QB #16 | 9 CAR, 15 YDS | |
| Receiving | Amon-Ra St. Brown WR #14 | 31 REC, 303 YDS, 5 TD |
| Jameson Williams WR #1 | 16 REC, 229 YDS | |
| Sam LaPorta TE #87 | 22 REC, 228 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB #0 | 22 REC, 187 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jack Campbell LB #46 | 33 |
| D.J. Reed CB #4 | 30 | |
| Chuck Clark S #36 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Aidan Hutchinson DE #97 | 3.5 |
| DJ Wonnum LB #98 | 3 | |
| Alim McNeill DT #54 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Chuck Clark S #36 | 1 |
| Derrick Barnes LB #55 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.