Wk 4 · 2026
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Sun, Oct 4
Sun, Oct 4 ·
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
· FOX
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 37 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NFC North · no games yet
at
1:00pET
GB -1.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential TB by 0.3
NFC South · no games yet
What is at stake
An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Packers form
No completed games on record.
Buccaneers form
No completed games on record.
Packers this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Buccaneers this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 8
| Opponent | Packers | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Vikings NFC | at Wk 1 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 3 · scheduled preview |
| Falcons NFC | vs Wk 3 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Cowboys NFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| Lions NFC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Panthers NFC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Rams NFC | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 17 · scheduled preview |
| Saints NFC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 15 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Buccaneers leads 5–4 · Buccaneers won the last one
9 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.6 points toward Buccaneers
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-12-17 | Buccaneers 34 — 20 Packers | at GB | Buccaneers |
| 2022 | 2022-09-25 | Packers 14 — 12 Buccaneers | at TB | Packers |
| 2020 | 2021-01-24 | Buccaneers 31 — 26 Packers | at GB | Buccaneers playoffs |
| 2020 | 2020-10-18 | Packers 10 — 38 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2017 | 2017-12-03 | Buccaneers 20 — 26 Packers | at GB | Packers |
| 2014 | 2014-12-21 | Packers 20 — 3 Buccaneers | at TB | Packers |
| 2011 | 2011-11-20 | Buccaneers 26 — 35 Packers | at GB | Packers |
| 2009 | 2009-11-08 | Packers 28 — 38 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2008 | 2008-09-28 | Packers 21 — 30 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
Packers leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Jordan Love QB #10 | 291/439, 3381 YDS, 23 TD, 6 INT |
| Malik Willis QB #2 | 30/35, 422 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Josh Jacobs RB #8 | 234 CAR, 929 YDS, 13 TD |
| Emanuel Wilson RB #27 | 125 CAR, 496 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jordan Love QB #10 | 47 CAR, 199 YDS | |
| Receiving | Romeo Doubs WR #87 | 55 REC, 724 YDS, 6 TD |
| Christian Watson WR #9 | 35 REC, 611 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Tucker Kraft TE #85 | 32 REC, 489 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Matthew Golden WR #0 | 29 REC, 361 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Quay Walker LB #7 | 128 |
| Edgerrin Cooper LB #56 | 118 | |
| Xavier McKinney S #29 | 107 | |
| Sacks | Micah Parsons DE #1 | 12.5 |
| Rashan Gary LB #7 | 7.5 | |
| Devonte Wyatt DT #95 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Evan Williams S #33 | 3 |
| Xavier McKinney S #29 | 2 | |
| Isaiah McDuffie LB #58 | 1 |
Buccaneers leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Baker Mayfield QB #6 | 343/543, 3693 YDS, 26 TD, 11 INT |
| Teddy Bridgewater QB #5 | 8/15, 62 YDS | |
| Rushing | Bucky Irving RB #7 | 173 CAR, 588 YDS, 1 TD |
| Rachaad White RB #1 | 132 CAR, 572 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Baker Mayfield QB #6 | 55 CAR, 382 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Emeka Egbuka WR #2 | 63 REC, 938 YDS, 6 TD |
| Cade Otton TE #88 | 59 REC, 572 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Sterling Shepard WR #15 | 39 REC, 371 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Mike Evans WR #5 | 30 REC, 368 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Lavonte David LB #54 | 114 |
| SirVocea Dennis LB #8 | 101 | |
| Tykee Smith S #23 | 100 | |
| Sacks | Yaya Diaby LB #0 | 7 |
| Vita Vea DT #50 | 4.5 | |
| Lavonte David LB #54 | 3.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jamel Dean CB #35 | 3 |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. S #31 | 2 | |
| Jacob Parrish CB #25 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.