Wk 5 · 2026
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons — Sun, Oct 11
Sun, Oct 11 ·
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
· NBC FINAL
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
at
8:20pET
ATL -3.5 · total 44.5 DraftKings opened +4.5 · 8 toward ATL
Ratings differential BAL by 1.3
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Ravens form
W 30-23at ATLW 24-18vs TENW 34-31at DALL 17-24vs NOW 41-23at IND
2026 season
Falcons form
L 23-30vs BALW 45-24at NOW 35-14at GBL 3-34vs CARL 13-20at PIT
2026 season
Ravens this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread2-2-1 · 50% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Falcons this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Ravens | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Saints NFC | vs L 17-24 preview | at W 45-24 preview |
| Browns AFC | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Bengals AFC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | N Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Panthers NFC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs L 3-34 preview |
| Buccaneers NFC | vs Wk 14 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Steelers AFC | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview | at L 13-20 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Ravens leads 5–1 · Ravens has won the last 4
6 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
9.3 points toward Ravens
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-11 | Ravens 30 — 23 Falcons | at ATL | Ravens |
| 2022 | 2022-12-24 | Falcons 9 — 17 Ravens | at BAL | Ravens |
| 2018 | 2018-12-02 | Ravens 26 — 16 Falcons | at ATL | Ravens |
| 2014 | 2014-10-19 | Falcons 7 — 29 Ravens | at BAL | Ravens |
| 2010 | 2010-11-11 | Ravens 21 — 26 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2006 | 2006-11-19 | Falcons 10 — 24 Ravens | at BAL | Ravens |
Ravens leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Lamar Jackson QB #8 | 68/96, 967 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT |
| Tyler Huntley QB #5 | 8/9, 63 YDS | |
| Rushing | Derrick Henry RB #22 | 89 CAR, 374 YDS, 7 TD |
| Lamar Jackson QB #8 | 19 CAR, 144 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Justice Hill RB #43 | 14 CAR, 60 YDS | |
| Receiving | Zay Flowers WR #4 | 18 REC, 352 YDS, 2 TD |
| Rashod Bateman WR #7 | 11 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Mark Andrews TE #89 | 18 REC, 149 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Matthew Hibner TE #88 | 5 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Roquan Smith LB #0 | 34 |
| Kyle Hamilton S #14 | 33 | |
| Trenton Simpson LB #32 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Tavius Robinson LB #95 | 2 |
| Trey Hendrickson LB #91 | 1 | |
| Roquan Smith LB #0 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Roquan Smith LB #0 | 1 |
| Trenton Simpson LB #32 | 1 |
Falcons leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 33/45, 479 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 22/39, 229 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 85 CAR, 494 YDS, 4 TD |
| Brian Robinson Jr. RB #15 | 44 CAR, 194 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 2 CAR, 20 YDS | |
| Receiving | Drake London WR #5 | 20 REC, 370 YDS |
| Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 14 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jahan Dotson WR #4 | 6 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. TE #8 | 5 REC, 67 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Xavier Watts S #31 | 24 |
| C.J. Henderson CB #26 | 23 | |
| Mike Hughes CB #21 | 19 | |
| Sacks | Za'Darius Smith DE #91 | 2.5 |
| Samson Ebukam DE #52 | 1.5 | |
| Cameron Thomas DE #99 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier Watts S #31 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.