Wk 2 · 2026
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons — Sun, Sep 20
Sun, Sep 20 ·
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
· Fox FINAL
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
at
1:00pET
CAR -2.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 4 toward CAR
Ratings differential ATL by 1.7
What is at stake
An NFC South game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the NFC South finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Panthers form
W 32-26vs DETL 18-21at CLEW 34-3at ATLL 37-59vs CHI
2026 season
Falcons form
L 23-30vs BALW 45-24at NOW 35-14at GBL 3-34vs CARL 13-20at PIT
2026 season
Panthers this season
Straight up2-2 · 50% (4 games)
Against the spread2-2 · 50% (4 games)
Over / under2-2 · 50% (4 games)
Falcons this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 10
| Opponent | Panthers | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Bears NFC | vs L 37-59 preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Browns AFC | at L 18-21 preview | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Lions NFC | vs W 32-26 preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Buccaneers NFC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at W 35-14 preview |
| Saints NFC | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at W 45-24 preview |
| Ravens AFC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs L 23-30 preview |
| Vikings NFC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Bengals AFC | vs Wk 15 · scheduled preview | N Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Steelers AFC | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview | at L 13-20 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Falcons leads 23–18 · Panthers has won the last 4
41 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
1.0 points toward Falcons
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-20 | Panthers 34 — 3 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2025 | 2025-11-16 | Panthers 30 — 27 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2025 | 2025-09-21 | Falcons 0 — 30 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2024 | 2025-01-05 | Panthers 44 — 38 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2024 | 2024-10-13 | Falcons 38 — 20 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2023 | 2023-12-17 | Falcons 7 — 9 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2023 | 2023-09-10 | Panthers 10 — 24 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2022 | 2022-11-10 | Falcons 15 — 25 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2022 | 2022-10-30 | Panthers 34 — 37 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2021 | 2021-12-12 | Falcons 29 — 21 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2021 | 2021-10-31 | Panthers 19 — 13 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2020 | 2020-10-29 | Falcons 25 — 17 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2020 | 2020-10-11 | Panthers 23 — 16 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2019 | 2019-12-08 | Panthers 20 — 40 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2019 | 2019-11-17 | Falcons 29 — 3 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2018 | 2018-12-23 | Falcons 24 — 10 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2018 | 2018-09-16 | Panthers 24 — 31 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2017 | 2017-12-31 | Panthers 10 — 22 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2017 | 2017-11-05 | Falcons 17 — 20 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2016 | 2016-12-24 | Falcons 33 — 16 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2016 | 2016-10-02 | Panthers 33 — 48 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2015 | 2015-12-27 | Panthers 13 — 20 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2015 | 2015-12-13 | Falcons 0 — 38 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2014 | 2014-12-28 | Panthers 34 — 3 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2014 | 2014-11-16 | Falcons 19 — 17 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2013 | 2013-12-29 | Panthers 21 — 20 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2013 | 2013-11-03 | Falcons 10 — 34 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2012 | 2012-12-09 | Falcons 20 — 30 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2012 | 2012-09-30 | Panthers 28 — 30 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2011 | 2011-12-11 | Falcons 31 — 23 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2011 | 2011-10-16 | Panthers 17 — 31 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2010 | 2011-01-02 | Panthers 10 — 31 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2010 | 2010-12-12 | Falcons 31 — 10 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2009 | 2009-11-15 | Falcons 19 — 28 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2009 | 2009-09-20 | Panthers 20 — 28 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2008 | 2008-11-23 | Panthers 28 — 45 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2008 | 2008-09-28 | Falcons 9 — 24 Panthers | at CAR | Panthers |
| 2007 | 2007-11-11 | Falcons 20 — 13 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
| 2007 | 2007-09-23 | Panthers 27 — 20 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2006 | 2006-12-24 | Panthers 10 — 3 Falcons | at ATL | Panthers |
| 2006 | 2006-09-10 | Falcons 20 — 6 Panthers | at CAR | Falcons |
Panthers leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Bryce Young QB #9 | 101/162, 1268 YDS, 9 TD, 2 INT |
| Kenny Pickett QB #12 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Chuba Hubbard RB #30 | 61 CAR, 306 YDS, 3 TD |
| AJ Dillon RB #28 | 17 CAR, 43 YDS | |
| Jonathon Brooks RB #25 | 9 CAR, 30 YDS | |
| Receiving | Tetairoa McMillan WR #4 | 26 REC, 385 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jalen Coker WR #18 | 18 REC, 222 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Darren Waller TE #88 | 13 REC, 148 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Brycen Tremayne WR #87 | 6 REC, 115 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Devin Lloyd LB #55 | 31 |
| Bobby Okereke LB #58 | 26 | |
| Akayleb Evans CB #29 | 20 | |
| Sacks | Princely Umanmielen LB #3 | 3 |
| Jaelan Phillips LB #5 | 2 | |
| Trevis Gipson LB #52 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Devin Lloyd LB #55 | 2 |
| Bobby Okereke LB #58 | 1 |
Falcons leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 33/45, 479 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 22/39, 229 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 85 CAR, 494 YDS, 4 TD |
| Brian Robinson Jr. RB #15 | 44 CAR, 194 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 2 CAR, 20 YDS | |
| Receiving | Drake London WR #5 | 20 REC, 370 YDS |
| Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 14 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jahan Dotson WR #4 | 6 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. TE #8 | 5 REC, 67 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Xavier Watts S #31 | 24 |
| C.J. Henderson CB #26 | 23 | |
| Mike Hughes CB #21 | 19 | |
| Sacks | Za'Darius Smith DE #91 | 2.5 |
| Samson Ebukam DE #52 | 1.5 | |
| Cameron Thomas DE #99 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier Watts S #31 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.