Wk 10 · 2026
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns — Sun, Nov 15
Sun, Nov 15 ·
Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
· Fox
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 30 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC South · 1-4
at
1:00pET
HOU -4.5 · total 38.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential HOU by 2.8
AFC North · 3-2
What is at stake
An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Texans form
W 26-3at TENL 30-34vs DALL 17-19at INDL 6-20vs CINL 31-36vs BUF
2026 season
Browns form
L 12-17at NYJW 27-24vs PITW 21-18vs CARW 23-19at TBL 10-34at JAX
2026 season
Texans this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Browns this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Texans | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Bengals AFC | vs L 6-20 preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Colts AFC | at L 17-19 preview | vs Wk 17 · scheduled preview |
| Titans AFC | at W 26-3 preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Jaguars AFC | N Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at L 10-34 preview |
| Giants NFC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview |
| Ravens AFC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Steelers AFC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs W 27-24 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Texans leads 7–5 · Texans won the last one
12 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
5.4 points toward Texans
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2024-01-13 | Browns 14 — 45 Texans | at HOU | Texans playoffs |
| 2023 | 2023-12-24 | Browns 36 — 22 Texans | at HOU | Browns |
| 2022 | 2022-12-04 | Browns 27 — 14 Texans | at HOU | Browns |
| 2021 | 2021-09-19 | Texans 21 — 31 Browns | at CLE | Browns |
| 2020 | 2020-11-15 | Texans 7 — 10 Browns | at CLE | Browns |
| 2018 | 2018-12-02 | Browns 13 — 29 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2017 | 2017-10-15 | Browns 17 — 33 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2014 | 2014-11-16 | Texans 23 — 7 Browns | at CLE | Texans |
| 2011 | 2011-11-06 | Browns 12 — 30 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2008 | 2008-11-23 | Texans 16 — 6 Browns | at CLE | Texans |
| 2007 | 2007-11-25 | Texans 17 — 27 Browns | at CLE | Browns |
| 2006 | 2006-12-31 | Browns 6 — 14 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
Texans leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | C.J. Stroud QB #7 | 93/151, 1141 YDS, 5 TD |
| Kai Kroeger P #38 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | David Montgomery RB #32 | 47 CAR, 127 YDS, 2 TD |
| Woody Marks RB #4 | 28 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD | |
| C.J. Stroud QB #7 | 9 CAR, 66 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Schultz TE #86 | 21 REC, 214 YDS |
| Nico Collins WR #12 | 14 REC, 193 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jaylin Noel WR #13 | 8 REC, 186 YDS | |
| Xavier Hutchinson WR #19 | 12 REC, 166 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Reed Blankenship S #6 | 34 |
| Azeez Al-Shaair LB #0 | 31 | |
| Jake Hansen LB #35 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Will Anderson Jr. DE #51 | 4.5 |
| Sheldon Rankins DT #98 | 2 | |
| Danielle Hunter DE #55 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Reed Blankenship S #6 | 1 |
Browns leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Deshaun Watson QB #4 | 80/115, 855 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT |
| Shedeur Sanders QB #2 | 1/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Quinshon Judkins RB #10 | 59 CAR, 177 YDS, 1 TD |
| Deshaun Watson QB #4 | 31 CAR, 127 YDS | |
| Jaleel McLaughlin RB #38 | 2 CAR, 31 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Denzel Boston WR #12 | 13 REC, 284 YDS, 2 TD |
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE #44 | 17 REC, 153 YDS, 3 TD | |
| KC Concepcion WR #1 | 17 REC, 144 YDS | |
| Quinshon Judkins RB #10 | 15 REC, 96 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Carson Schwesinger LB #49 | 35 |
| Ronnie Hickman S #33 | 24 | |
| Quincy Williams LB #5 | 23 | |
| Sacks | Mason Graham DT #94 | 4 |
| Isaiah McGuire DE #57 | 2 | |
| Maliek Collins DT #96 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Denzel Ward CB #21 | 1 |
| Grant Delpit S #9 | 1 | |
| Ronnie Hickman S #33 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.