Wk 5 · 2026
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans — Sun, Oct 11
Sun, Oct 11 ·
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
· CBS FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
1:00pET
HOU -6.5 · total 37.5 DraftKings opened +3.5 · 3 toward HOU
Ratings differential HOU by 8.1
What is at stake
An AFC South game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the AFC South finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Texans form
W 26-3at TENL 30-34vs DALL 17-19at INDL 6-20vs CINL 31-36vs BUF
2026 season
Titans form
L 3-26vs HOUL 18-24at BALL 7-12at NYGL 20-24vs PHIL 10-23vs NYJ
2026 season
Texans this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Titans this season
Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 10
| Opponent | Texans | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Bengals AFC | vs L 6-20 preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Colts AFC | at L 17-19 preview | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Cowboys NFC | vs L 30-34 preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Jaguars AFC | N Wk 6 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Giants NFC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at L 7-12 preview |
| Browns AFC | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Ravens AFC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at L 18-24 preview |
| Steelers AFC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 17 · scheduled preview |
| Commanders NFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Eagles NFC | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview | vs L 20-24 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Texans leads 23–18 · Texans has won the last 4
41 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
5.4 points toward Texans
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-11 | Texans 26 — 3 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2025 | 2025-11-16 | Texans 16 — 13 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2025 | 2025-09-28 | Titans 0 — 26 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2024 | 2025-01-05 | Texans 23 — 14 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2024 | 2024-11-24 | Titans 32 — 27 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2023 | 2023-12-31 | Titans 3 — 26 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2023 | 2023-12-17 | Texans 19 — 16 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2022 | 2022-12-24 | Texans 19 — 14 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2022 | 2022-10-30 | Titans 17 — 10 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2021 | 2022-01-09 | Titans 28 — 25 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2021 | 2021-11-21 | Texans 22 — 13 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2020 | 2021-01-03 | Titans 41 — 38 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2020 | 2020-10-18 | Texans 36 — 42 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
| 2019 | 2019-12-29 | Titans 35 — 14 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2019 | 2019-12-15 | Texans 24 — 21 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2018 | 2018-11-26 | Titans 17 — 34 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2018 | 2018-09-16 | Texans 17 — 20 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
| 2017 | 2017-12-03 | Texans 13 — 24 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
| 2017 | 2017-10-01 | Titans 14 — 57 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2016 | 2017-01-01 | Texans 17 — 24 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
| 2016 | 2016-10-02 | Titans 20 — 27 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2015 | 2015-12-27 | Texans 34 — 6 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2015 | 2015-11-01 | Titans 6 — 20 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2014 | 2014-11-30 | Titans 21 — 45 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2014 | 2014-10-26 | Texans 30 — 16 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2013 | 2013-12-29 | Texans 10 — 16 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
| 2013 | 2013-09-15 | Titans 24 — 30 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2012 | 2012-12-02 | Texans 24 — 10 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2012 | 2012-09-30 | Titans 14 — 38 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2011 | 2012-01-01 | Titans 23 — 22 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2011 | 2011-10-23 | Texans 41 — 7 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2010 | 2010-12-19 | Texans 17 — 31 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
| 2010 | 2010-11-28 | Titans 0 — 20 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2009 | 2009-11-23 | Titans 20 — 17 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2009 | 2009-09-20 | Texans 34 — 31 Titans | at TEN | Texans |
| 2008 | 2008-12-14 | Titans 12 — 13 Texans | at HOU | Texans |
| 2008 | 2008-09-21 | Texans 12 — 31 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
| 2007 | 2007-12-02 | Texans 20 — 28 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
| 2007 | 2007-10-21 | Titans 38 — 36 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2006 | 2006-12-10 | Titans 26 — 20 Texans | at HOU | Titans |
| 2006 | 2006-10-29 | Texans 22 — 28 Titans | at TEN | Titans |
Texans leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | C.J. Stroud QB #7 | 93/151, 1141 YDS, 5 TD |
| Kai Kroeger P #38 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | David Montgomery RB #32 | 47 CAR, 127 YDS, 2 TD |
| Woody Marks RB #4 | 28 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD | |
| C.J. Stroud QB #7 | 9 CAR, 66 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Schultz TE #86 | 21 REC, 214 YDS |
| Nico Collins WR #12 | 14 REC, 193 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jaylin Noel WR #13 | 8 REC, 186 YDS | |
| Xavier Hutchinson WR #19 | 12 REC, 166 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Reed Blankenship S #6 | 34 |
| Azeez Al-Shaair LB #0 | 31 | |
| Jake Hansen LB #35 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Will Anderson Jr. DE #51 | 4.5 |
| Sheldon Rankins DT #98 | 2 | |
| Danielle Hunter DE #55 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Reed Blankenship S #6 | 1 |
Titans leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Cam Ward QB #1 | 75/119, 726 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT |
| Rushing | Tony Pollard RB #20 | 54 CAR, 221 YDS, 1 TD |
| Tyjae Spears RB #2 | 15 CAR, 65 YDS | |
| Cam Ward QB #1 | 13 CAR, 57 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Carnell Tate WR #14 | 22 REC, 268 YDS |
| Wan'Dale Robinson WR #4 | 16 REC, 123 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Elic Ayomanor WR #5 | 5 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Gunnar Helm TE #84 | 9 REC, 60 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Anthony Hill Jr. LB #53 | 42 |
| Kevin Winston Jr. S #23 | 29 | |
| Amani Hooker S #37 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Jeffery Simmons DT #98 | 2 |
| Jacob Martin DE #57 | 1.5 | |
| John Franklin-Myers DE #91 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Amani Hooker S #37 | 1 |
| Marcus Harris CB #26 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.