Wk 17 · 2026
Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers — Mon, Jan 4
Mon, Jan 4 ·
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
· ESPN
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 80 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC South · 1-4
at
8:15pET
GB -2.5 · total 42.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential HOU by 0.6
NFC North · 3-2
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Texans form
W 26-3at TENL 30-34vs DALL 17-19at INDL 6-20vs CINL 31-36vs BUF
2026 season
Packers form
W 31-7vs CHIW 17-14at TBL 14-35vs ATLW 20-17at NYJL 22-39at MIN
2026 season
Texans this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Packers this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 2
| Opponent | Texans | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Bills AFC | vs L 31-36 preview | vs Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Cowboys NFC | vs L 30-34 preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Packers leads 4–1 · Packers has won the last 4
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
8.0 points toward Packers
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-10-20 | Texans 22 — 24 Packers | at GB | Packers |
| 2020 | 2020-10-25 | Packers 35 — 20 Texans | at HOU | Packers |
| 2016 | 2016-12-04 | Texans 13 — 21 Packers | at GB | Packers |
| 2012 | 2012-10-14 | Packers 42 — 24 Texans | at HOU | Packers |
| 2008 | 2008-12-07 | Texans 24 — 21 Packers | at GB | Texans |
Texans leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | C.J. Stroud QB #7 | 93/151, 1141 YDS, 5 TD |
| Kai Kroeger P #38 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | David Montgomery RB #32 | 47 CAR, 127 YDS, 2 TD |
| Woody Marks RB #4 | 28 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD | |
| C.J. Stroud QB #7 | 9 CAR, 66 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Schultz TE #86 | 21 REC, 214 YDS |
| Nico Collins WR #12 | 14 REC, 193 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jaylin Noel WR #13 | 8 REC, 186 YDS | |
| Xavier Hutchinson WR #19 | 12 REC, 166 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Reed Blankenship S #6 | 34 |
| Azeez Al-Shaair LB #0 | 31 | |
| Jake Hansen LB #35 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Will Anderson Jr. DE #51 | 4.5 |
| Sheldon Rankins DT #98 | 2 | |
| Danielle Hunter DE #55 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Reed Blankenship S #6 | 1 |
Packers leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jordan Love QB #10 | 87/154, 1041 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | MarShawn Lloyd RB #32 | 30 CAR, 81 YDS |
| Kaleb Johnson RB #26 | 20 CAR, 80 YDS | |
| Chris Brooks RB #30 | 15 CAR, 70 YDS | |
| Receiving | Christian Watson WR #9 | 20 REC, 331 YDS, 4 TD |
| Matthew Golden WR #0 | 18 REC, 274 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Tucker Kraft TE #85 | 15 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jonnu Smith TE #81 | 5 REC, 85 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Evan Williams S #33 | 36 |
| Edgerrin Cooper LB #56 | 30 | |
| Zaire Franklin LB #44 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Edgerrin Cooper LB #56 | 3 |
| Lukas Van Ness DE #90 | 2.5 | |
| Xavier McKinney S #29 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier McKinney S #29 | 1 |
| Keisean Nixon CB #25 | 1 | |
| Evan Williams S #33 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.