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Wk 4 · 2026

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans — Sun, Oct 4

Sun, Oct 4 · Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX · Fox FINAL

Weather

This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
NFC East · 2-3
34
at
1:00pET
HOU -3 · total 48.5 DraftKings opened -2.5 · 0.5 toward HOU
Ratings differential HOU by 4.1
AFC South · 1-4
30

What is at stake

An interconference game, NFC against AFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Cowboys: -0.9#20
Efficiency margin
Texans: +1.6#13
Cowboys: +3.1#4
Offense
Texans: -0.9#19
Cowboys: -4.0#31
Defense
Texans: +2.5#6
Cowboys: 27.7
Points / game
Texans: 23.8
Cowboys: 30.1
Points allowed / game
Texans: 17.4
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Cowboys form

L 16-24vs TBW 34-30at HOUL 31-34vs BALW 37-20vs WSHL 20-28at NYG
2026 season

Texans form

W 26-3at TENL 30-34vs DALL 17-19at INDL 6-20vs CINL 31-36vs BUF
2026 season

Cowboys this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-2-1 · 50% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)

Texans this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 8

OpponentCowboysTexans
Giants
NFC
at L 20-28 previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Commanders
NFC
vs W 37-20 previewat Wk 14 · scheduled preview
Ravens
AFC
N L 31-34 previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Packers
NFC
at Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 17 · scheduled preview
Eagles
NFC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 16 · scheduled preview
Colts
AFC
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewat L 17-19 preview
Titans
AFC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat W 26-3 preview
Jaguars
AFC
vs Wk 16 · scheduled previewN Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Cowboys leads 5–2 · Cowboys won the last one
7 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 3.7 points toward Cowboys
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-04Cowboys 34 — 30 Texansat HOUCowboys
20242024-11-18Texans 34 — 10 Cowboysat DALTexans
20222022-12-11Texans 23 — 27 Cowboysat DALCowboys
20182018-10-07Cowboys 16 — 19 Texansat HOUTexans
20142014-10-05Texans 17 — 20 Cowboysat DALCowboys
20102010-09-26Cowboys 27 — 13 Texansat HOUCowboys
20062006-10-15Texans 6 — 34 Cowboysat DALCowboys

Cowboys leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDak Prescott QB #4105/150, 1065 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT
RushingJavonte Williams RB #3362 CAR, 231 YDS, 5 TD
Dak Prescott QB #412 CAR, 66 YDS
Tyler Goodson RB #259 CAR, 34 YDS
ReceivingCeeDee Lamb WR #8837 REC, 498 YDS, 4 TD
George Pickens WR #318 REC, 225 YDS
Ryan Flournoy WR #1913 REC, 104 YDS
Jake Ferguson TE #8712 REC, 83 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesCaleb Downs S #1329
Dee Winters LB #5325
Jaishawn Barham LB #5521
SacksQuinnen Williams DT #921
Rashan Gary LB #71
Caleb Downs S #131

Texans leaders 2026 regular season

PassingC.J. Stroud QB #793/151, 1141 YDS, 5 TD
Kai Kroeger P #380/1, 0 YDS
RushingDavid Montgomery RB #3247 CAR, 127 YDS, 2 TD
Woody Marks RB #428 CAR, 87 YDS, 2 TD
C.J. Stroud QB #79 CAR, 66 YDS
ReceivingDalton Schultz TE #8621 REC, 214 YDS
Nico Collins WR #1214 REC, 193 YDS, 3 TD
Jaylin Noel WR #138 REC, 186 YDS
Xavier Hutchinson WR #1912 REC, 166 YDS
Defense
TacklesReed Blankenship S #634
Azeez Al-Shaair LB #031
Jake Hansen LB #3528
SacksWill Anderson Jr. DE #514.5
Sheldon Rankins DT #982
Danielle Hunter DE #552
InterceptionsReed Blankenship S #61
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.