Wk 4 · 2026
Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders — Sun, Oct 4
Sun, Oct 4 ·
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
· NFL Net FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
vs
9:30aET
IND -4.5 · total 46.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 6 toward IND
Ratings differential IND by 4.0
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record. Neither team is at home for this one: it is played at a neutral site. NFL London Games.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
no home-field adjustment at a neutral site.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Colts form
L 22-34at PITW 30-13at WSHW 19-17vs HOUL 30-33at KCL 23-41vs BAL
2026 season
Commanders form
T 27-27vs NYGL 13-30vs INDW 33-31vs SEAL 20-37at DALL 22-24at PHI
2026 season
Colts this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Commanders this season
Straight up1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 8
| Opponent | Colts | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Texans AFC | vs W 19-17 preview | vs Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Titans AFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Vikings NFC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview |
| Jaguars AFC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 17 · scheduled preview |
| Cowboys NFC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at L 20-37 preview |
| Giants NFC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs T 27-27 preview |
| Eagles NFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | at L 22-24 preview |
| Bengals AFC | vs Wk 16 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Colts leads 5–1 · Colts won the last one
6 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
11.2 points toward Colts
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-04 | Colts 30 — 13 Commanders | neutral | Colts |
| 2022 | 2022-10-30 | Commanders 17 — 16 Colts | at IND | Commanders |
| 2018 | 2018-09-16 | Colts 21 — 9 Commanders | at WSH | Colts |
| 2014 | 2014-11-30 | Commanders 27 — 49 Colts | at IND | Colts |
| 2010 | 2010-10-17 | Colts 27 — 24 Commanders | at WSH | Colts |
| 2006 | 2006-10-22 | Commanders 22 — 36 Colts | at IND | Colts |
Colts leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Daniel Jones QB #17 | 84/132, 754 YDS, 3 TD, 4 INT |
| Rushing | Jonathan Taylor RB #28 | 86 CAR, 353 YDS, 6 TD |
| Seth McGowan RB #20 | 12 CAR, 45 YDS | |
| Daniel Jones QB #17 | 11 CAR, 21 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Josh Downs WR #2 | 17 REC, 202 YDS |
| Tyler Warren TE #84 | 23 REC, 130 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Laquon Treadwell WR #13 | 9 REC, 123 YDS | |
| Keenan Allen WR #10 | 13 REC, 100 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Akeem Davis-Gaither LB #51 | 37 |
| Justin Walley CB #27 | 22 | |
| Bryce Boettcher LB #50 | 20 | |
| Sacks | DeForest Buckner DT #99 | 3 |
| Adetomiwa Adebawore DT #95 | 2 | |
| Jerry Tillery DT #94 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jaylon Carlies LB #57 | 1 |
Commanders leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Marcus Mariota QB #8 | 33/51, 340 YDS, 4 TD |
| Jayden Daniels QB #5 | 29/51, 260 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB #22 | 56 CAR, 157 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jayden Daniels QB #5 | 12 CAR, 100 YDS | |
| Rachaad White RB #1 | 22 CAR, 100 YDS | |
| Receiving | Stefon Diggs WR #18 | 18 REC, 170 YDS, 3 TD |
| Terry McLaurin WR #17 | 10 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Antonio Williams WR #14 | 12 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Dyami Brown WR #6 | 7 REC, 86 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jeremy Reaves S #39 | 29 |
| Amik Robertson CB #2 | 26 | |
| Sonny Styles LB #52 | 20 | |
| Sacks | Odafe Oweh LB #98 | 2 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson LB #45 | 1.5 | |
| Frankie Luvu LB #4 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Rasul Douglas CB #31 | 1 |
| Kain Medrano LB #56 | 1 | |
| Sonny Styles LB #52 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.