Wk 16 · 2026
Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings — Sun, Dec 27
Sun, Dec 27 ·
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
NFC East · no games yet
at
TBDET
MIN -2.5 · total 46.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MIN by 4.4
NFC North · no games yet
What is at stake
An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings. Flex Game: 12/26 or 12/27.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Commanders form
No completed games on record.
Vikings form
No completed games on record.
Commanders this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Vikings this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | Commanders | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Colts AFC | N Wk 4 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| 49ers NFC | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview | N Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Falcons NFC | vs Wk 15 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Vikings leads 9–3 · Vikings has won the last 4
12 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.9 points toward Vikings
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-12-07 | Commanders 0 — 31 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2022 | 2022-11-06 | Vikings 20 — 17 Commanders | at WSH | Vikings |
| 2019 | 2019-10-24 | Commanders 9 — 19 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2017 | 2017-11-12 | Vikings 38 — 30 Commanders | at WSH | Vikings |
| 2016 | 2016-11-13 | Vikings 20 — 26 Commanders | at WSH | Commanders |
| 2014 | 2014-11-02 | Commanders 26 — 29 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2013 | 2013-11-07 | Commanders 27 — 34 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2012 | 2012-10-14 | Vikings 26 — 38 Commanders | at WSH | Commanders |
| 2011 | 2011-12-24 | Vikings 33 — 26 Commanders | at WSH | Vikings |
| 2010 | 2010-11-28 | Vikings 17 — 13 Commanders | at WSH | Vikings |
| 2007 | 2007-12-23 | Commanders 32 — 21 Vikings | at MIN | Commanders |
| 2006 | 2006-09-11 | Vikings 19 — 16 Commanders | at WSH | Vikings |
Commanders leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Marcus Mariota QB #8 | 139/227, 1695 YDS, 10 TD, 7 INT |
| Jayden Daniels QB #5 | 114/188, 1262 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB #22 | 175 CAR, 805 YDS, 8 TD |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB #24 | 112 CAR, 500 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Marcus Mariota QB #8 | 50 CAR, 297 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Deebo Samuel Sr. WR #19 | 72 REC, 727 YDS, 5 TD |
| Terry McLaurin WR #17 | 38 REC, 582 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Zach Ertz - | 50 REC, 504 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jaylin Lane WR #83 | 16 REC, 225 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Bobby Wagner LB #54 | 162 |
| Quan Martin S #20 | 99 | |
| Jeremy Reaves S #39 | 91 | |
| Sacks | Von Miller LB #40 | 9 |
| Jacob Martin DE #57 | 5.5 | |
| Dorance Armstrong DE #92 | 5.5 | |
| Interceptions | Mike Sainristil CB #0 | 4 |
| Bobby Wagner LB #54 | 2 | |
| Marshon Lattimore CB #2 | 1 |
Vikings leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | J.J. McCarthy QB #9 | 140/243, 1632 YDS, 11 TD, 12 INT |
| Carson Wentz QB #11 | 110/169, 1216 YDS, 6 TD, 5 INT | |
| Rushing | Jordan Mason RB #27 | 159 CAR, 758 YDS, 6 TD |
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB #33 | 132 CAR, 548 YDS, 2 TD | |
| J.J. McCarthy QB #9 | 37 CAR, 181 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Justin Jefferson WR #18 | 84 REC, 1048 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jordan Addison WR #3 | 42 REC, 610 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jalen Nailor WR #9 | 29 REC, 444 YDS, 4 TD | |
| T.J. Hockenson TE #87 | 51 REC, 438 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Cashman LB #51 | 144 |
| Eric Wilson LB #55 | 115 | |
| Joshua Metellus S #44 | 86 | |
| Sacks | Dallas Turner LB #15 | 8 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel LB #43 | 7 | |
| Eric Wilson LB #55 | 6.5 | |
| Interceptions | Harrison Smith S #22 | 2 |
| Byron Murphy Jr. CB #7 | 2 | |
| Joshua Metellus S #44 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.