Wk 17 · 2026
Washington Commanders at Jacksonville Jaguars — Sun, Jan 3
Sun, Jan 3 ·
EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 78 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NFC East · 1-3-1
at
TBDET
JAX -3.5 · total 48.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential JAX by 13.4
AFC South · 4-1
What is at stake
An interconference game, NFC against AFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record. Flex Game: 1/2 or 1/3.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Commanders form
T 27-27vs NYGL 13-30vs INDW 33-31vs SEAL 20-37at DALL 22-24at PHI
2026 season
Jaguars form
W 19-17vs PHIW 22-17at CINW 35-6vs NEL 13-20at DENW 34-10vs CLE
2026 season
Commanders this season
Straight up1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Jaguars this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Commanders | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles NFC | at L 22-24 preview | N W 19-17 preview |
| Cowboys NFC | at L 20-37 preview | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview |
| Colts AFC | N L 13-30 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Giants NFC | vs T 27-27 preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Bengals AFC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at W 22-17 preview |
| Titans AFC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Texans AFC | vs Wk 14 · scheduled preview | N Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Commanders leads 5–0 · Commanders has won the last 5
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
9.8 points toward Commanders
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022-09-11 | Jaguars 22 — 28 Commanders | at WSH | Commanders |
| 2018 | 2018-12-16 | Commanders 16 — 13 Jaguars | at JAX | Commanders |
| 2014 | 2014-09-14 | Jaguars 10 — 41 Commanders | at WSH | Commanders |
| 2010 | 2010-12-26 | Commanders 20 — 17 Jaguars | at JAX | Commanders |
| 2006 | 2006-10-01 | Jaguars 30 — 36 Commanders | at WSH | Commanders |
Commanders leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Marcus Mariota QB #8 | 33/51, 340 YDS, 4 TD |
| Jayden Daniels QB #5 | 29/51, 260 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB #22 | 56 CAR, 157 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jayden Daniels QB #5 | 12 CAR, 100 YDS | |
| Rachaad White RB #1 | 22 CAR, 100 YDS | |
| Receiving | Stefon Diggs WR #18 | 18 REC, 170 YDS, 3 TD |
| Terry McLaurin WR #17 | 10 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Antonio Williams WR #14 | 12 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Dyami Brown WR #6 | 7 REC, 86 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jeremy Reaves S #39 | 29 |
| Amik Robertson CB #2 | 26 | |
| Sonny Styles LB #52 | 20 | |
| Sacks | Odafe Oweh LB #98 | 2 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson LB #45 | 1.5 | |
| Frankie Luvu LB #4 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Rasul Douglas CB #31 | 1 |
| Kain Medrano LB #56 | 1 | |
| Sonny Styles LB #52 | 1 |
Jaguars leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trevor Lawrence QB #16 | 72/104, 843 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT |
| Rushing | Bhayshul Tuten RB #33 | 60 CAR, 277 YDS, 2 TD |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB #24 | 26 CAR, 108 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Ameer Abdullah RB #20 | 10 CAR, 45 YDS | |
| Receiving | Parker Washington WR #11 | 16 REC, 228 YDS, 2 TD |
| Brenton Strange TE #85 | 14 REC, 167 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jakobi Meyers WR #3 | 13 REC, 165 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Brian Thomas Jr. WR #7 | 9 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Ventrell Miller LB #51 | 30 |
| Foyesade Oluokun LB #23 | 24 | |
| Antonio Johnson S #6 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Josh Hines-Allen DE #41 | 1.5 |
| Travon Walker DE #44 | 1.5 | |
| Arik Armstead DT #91 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jourdan Lewis CB #2 | 2 |
| Foyesade Oluokun LB #23 | 2 | |
| Jarrian Jones CB #4 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.