Wk 16 · 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars at Dallas Cowboys — Sun, Dec 27
Sun, Dec 27 ·
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
· NBC
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
AFC South · 4-1
at
8:20pET
DAL -3 · total 51.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential JAX by 6.5
NFC East · 2-3
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Jaguars form
W 19-17vs PHIW 22-17at CINW 35-6vs NEL 13-20at DENW 34-10vs CLE
2026 season
Cowboys form
L 16-24vs TBW 34-30at HOUL 31-34vs BALW 37-20vs WSHL 20-28at NYG
2026 season
Jaguars this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Cowboys this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-2-1 · 50% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Jaguars | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles NFC | N W 19-17 preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Texans AFC | N Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at W 34-30 preview |
| Colts AFC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Ravens AFC | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | N L 31-34 preview |
| Titans AFC | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Giants NFC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at L 20-28 preview |
| Commanders NFC | vs Wk 17 · scheduled preview | vs W 37-20 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Jaguars leads 3–2 · Jaguars won the last one
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.2 points toward Cowboys
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022-12-18 | Cowboys 34 — 40 Jaguars | at JAX | Jaguars |
| 2018 | 2018-10-14 | Jaguars 7 — 40 Cowboys | at DAL | Cowboys |
| 2014 | 2014-11-09 | Cowboys 31 — 17 Jaguars | neutral | Cowboys |
| 2010 | 2010-10-31 | Jaguars 35 — 17 Cowboys | at DAL | Jaguars |
| 2006 | 2006-09-10 | Cowboys 17 — 24 Jaguars | at JAX | Jaguars |
Jaguars leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trevor Lawrence QB #16 | 72/104, 843 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT |
| Rushing | Bhayshul Tuten RB #33 | 60 CAR, 277 YDS, 2 TD |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB #24 | 26 CAR, 108 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Ameer Abdullah RB #20 | 10 CAR, 45 YDS | |
| Receiving | Parker Washington WR #11 | 16 REC, 228 YDS, 2 TD |
| Brenton Strange TE #85 | 14 REC, 167 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jakobi Meyers WR #3 | 13 REC, 165 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Brian Thomas Jr. WR #7 | 9 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Ventrell Miller LB #51 | 30 |
| Foyesade Oluokun LB #23 | 24 | |
| Antonio Johnson S #6 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Josh Hines-Allen DE #41 | 1.5 |
| Travon Walker DE #44 | 1.5 | |
| Arik Armstead DT #91 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jourdan Lewis CB #2 | 2 |
| Foyesade Oluokun LB #23 | 2 | |
| Jarrian Jones CB #4 | 1 |
Cowboys leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Dak Prescott QB #4 | 105/150, 1065 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT |
| Rushing | Javonte Williams RB #33 | 62 CAR, 231 YDS, 5 TD |
| Dak Prescott QB #4 | 12 CAR, 66 YDS | |
| Tyler Goodson RB #25 | 9 CAR, 34 YDS | |
| Receiving | CeeDee Lamb WR #88 | 37 REC, 498 YDS, 4 TD |
| George Pickens WR #3 | 18 REC, 225 YDS | |
| Ryan Flournoy WR #19 | 13 REC, 104 YDS | |
| Jake Ferguson TE #87 | 12 REC, 83 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Caleb Downs S #13 | 29 |
| Dee Winters LB #53 | 25 | |
| Jaishawn Barham LB #55 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Quinnen Williams DT #92 | 1 |
| Rashan Gary LB #7 | 1 | |
| Caleb Downs S #13 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.