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Wk 3 · 2026

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders — Sun, Sep 27

Sun, Sep 27 · Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD · Fox FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NFC West · 3-3
31
at
1:00pET
SEA -8.5 · total 40.5 DraftKings opened +3.5 · 5 toward SEA
Ratings differential SEA by 7.3
NFC East · 1-3-1
33

What is at stake

An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Seahawks: +4.6#5
Efficiency margin
Commanders: -4.4#28
Seahawks: +1.9#11
Offense
Commanders: -0.8#18
Seahawks: +2.7#5
Defense
Commanders: -3.6#30
Seahawks: 28.4
Points / game
Commanders: 20.9
Seahawks: 17.2
Points allowed / game
Commanders: 26.5
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Seahawks form

L 14-17at DENL 29-32vs SFW 30-23vs LACL 31-33at WSHW 31-7at ARI
2026 season

Commanders form

T 27-27vs NYGL 13-30vs INDW 33-31vs SEAL 20-37at DALL 22-24at PHI
2026 season

Seahawks this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread1-3-2 · 25% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Commanders this season

Straight up1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentSeahawksCommanders
Cardinals
NFC
at W 31-7 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
49ers
NFC
vs L 29-32 previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Cowboys
NFC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat L 20-37 preview
Giants
NFC
vs Wk 14 · scheduled previewvs T 27-27 preview
Eagles
NFC
at Wk 15 · scheduled previewat L 22-24 preview
Rams
NFC
vs Wk 16 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Seahawks leads 6–5 · Commanders won the last one
11 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.2 points toward Seahawks
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-27Seahawks 31 — 33 Commandersat WSHCommanders
20252025-11-02Seahawks 38 — 14 Commandersat WSHSeahawks
20232023-11-12Commanders 26 — 29 Seahawksat SEASeahawks
20212021-11-29Seahawks 15 — 17 Commandersat WSHCommanders
20202020-12-20Seahawks 20 — 15 Commandersat WSHSeahawks
20172017-11-05Commanders 17 — 14 Seahawksat SEACommanders
20142014-10-06Seahawks 27 — 17 Commandersat WSHSeahawks
20122013-01-06Seahawks 24 — 14 Commandersat WSHSeahawks playoffs
20112011-11-27Commanders 23 — 17 Seahawksat SEACommanders
20082008-11-23Commanders 20 — 17 Seahawksat SEACommanders
20072008-01-05Commanders 14 — 35 Seahawksat SEASeahawks playoffs

Seahawks leaders 2026 regular season

PassingSam Darnold QB #1445/69, 560 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT
Drew Lock QB #235/48, 422 YDS, 4 TD
RushingEmanuel Wilson RB #2753 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD
Jadarian Price RB #828 CAR, 119 YDS
George Holani RB #3622 CAR, 70 YDS
ReceivingJaxon Smith-Njigba WR #1132 REC, 481 YDS, 6 TD
Cooper Kupp WR #109 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
AJ Barner TE #889 REC, 102 YDS
Rashid Shaheed WR #227 REC, 73 YDS
Defense
TacklesErnest Jones IV LB #1341
Drake Thomas LB #3230
Devon Witherspoon CB #2128
SacksLeonard Williams DT #993
Derick Hall LB #582
Jarran Reed DT #901
InterceptionsJulian Love S #202
Ernest Jones IV LB #131
Josh Jobe CB #291

Commanders leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMarcus Mariota QB #833/51, 340 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Daniels QB #529/51, 260 YDS, 3 TD
RushingJacory Croskey-Merritt RB #2256 CAR, 157 YDS, 1 TD
Jayden Daniels QB #512 CAR, 100 YDS
Rachaad White RB #122 CAR, 100 YDS
ReceivingStefon Diggs WR #1818 REC, 170 YDS, 3 TD
Terry McLaurin WR #1710 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD
Antonio Williams WR #1412 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD
Dyami Brown WR #67 REC, 86 YDS
Defense
TacklesJeremy Reaves S #3929
Amik Robertson CB #226
Sonny Styles LB #5220
SacksOdafe Oweh LB #982
K'Lavon Chaisson LB #451.5
Frankie Luvu LB #41
InterceptionsRasul Douglas CB #311
Kain Medrano LB #561
Sonny Styles LB #521
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.