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Wk 5 · 2026

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers — Sun, Oct 11

Sun, Oct 11 · Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI · Fox FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Chicago Bears
NFC North · 3-2
7
at
1:00pET
CHI -1.5 · total 46.5 DraftKings opened -3 · 4.5 toward CHI
Ratings differential CHI by 2.4
Green Bay Packers
NFC North · 3-2
31

What is at stake

An NFC North game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the NFC North finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Bears: +3.3#9
Efficiency margin
Packers: -0.8#19
Bears: +2.1#9
Offense
Packers: -1.0#21
Bears: +1.2#9
Defense
Packers: +0.3#13
Bears: 25.9
Points / game
Packers: 23.0
Bears: 24.4
Points allowed / game
Packers: 21.2
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Bears form

L 7-31at GBW 23-12vs NYJW 27-7vs PHIL 3-9vs MINW 59-37at CAR
2026 season

Packers form

W 31-7vs CHIW 17-14at TBL 14-35vs ATLW 20-17at NYJL 22-39at MIN
2026 season

Bears this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

Packers this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 10

OpponentBearsPackers
Panthers
NFC
at W 59-37 previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Vikings
NFC
vs L 3-9 previewat L 22-39 preview
Jets
AFC
vs W 23-12 previewat W 20-17 preview
Falcons
NFC
at Wk 6 · scheduled previewvs L 14-35 preview
Patriots
AFC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Buccaneers
NFC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat W 17-14 preview
Saints
NFC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Lions
NFC
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Dolphins
AFC
at Wk 14 · scheduled previewvs Wk 15 · scheduled preview
Bills
AFC
at Wk 15 · scheduled previewvs Wk 14 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Packers leads 32–11 · Packers won the last one
43 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.2 points toward Packers
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-11Bears 7 — 31 Packersat GBPackers
20252026-01-10Packers 27 — 31 Bearsat CHIBears playoffs
20252025-12-20Packers 16 — 22 Bearsat CHIBears
20252025-12-07Bears 21 — 28 Packersat GBPackers
20242025-01-05Bears 24 — 22 Packersat GBBears
20242024-11-17Packers 20 — 19 Bearsat CHIPackers
20232024-01-07Bears 9 — 17 Packersat GBPackers
20232023-09-10Packers 38 — 20 Bearsat CHIPackers
20222022-12-04Packers 28 — 19 Bearsat CHIPackers
20222022-09-18Bears 10 — 27 Packersat GBPackers
20212021-12-12Bears 30 — 45 Packersat GBPackers
20212021-10-17Packers 24 — 14 Bearsat CHIPackers
20202021-01-03Packers 35 — 16 Bearsat CHIPackers
20202020-11-29Bears 25 — 41 Packersat GBPackers
20192019-12-15Bears 13 — 21 Packersat GBPackers
20192019-09-05Packers 10 — 3 Bearsat CHIPackers
20182018-12-16Packers 17 — 24 Bearsat CHIBears
20182018-09-09Bears 23 — 24 Packersat GBPackers
20172017-11-12Packers 23 — 16 Bearsat CHIPackers
20172017-09-28Bears 14 — 35 Packersat GBPackers
20162016-12-18Packers 30 — 27 Bearsat CHIPackers
20162016-10-20Bears 10 — 26 Packersat GBPackers
20152015-11-26Bears 17 — 13 Packersat GBBears
20152015-09-13Packers 31 — 23 Bearsat CHIPackers
20142014-11-09Bears 14 — 55 Packersat GBPackers
20142014-09-28Packers 38 — 17 Bearsat CHIPackers
20132013-12-29Packers 33 — 28 Bearsat CHIPackers
20132013-11-04Bears 27 — 20 Packersat GBBears
20122012-12-16Packers 21 — 13 Bearsat CHIPackers
20122012-09-13Bears 10 — 23 Packersat GBPackers
20112011-12-25Bears 21 — 35 Packersat GBPackers
20112011-09-25Packers 27 — 17 Bearsat CHIPackers
20102011-01-23Packers 21 — 14 Bearsat CHIPackers playoffs
20102011-01-02Bears 3 — 10 Packersat GBPackers
20102010-09-27Packers 17 — 20 Bearsat CHIBears
20092009-12-13Packers 21 — 14 Bearsat CHIPackers
20092009-09-13Bears 15 — 21 Packersat GBPackers
20082008-12-22Packers 17 — 20 Bearsat CHIBears
20082008-11-16Bears 3 — 37 Packersat GBPackers
20072007-12-23Packers 7 — 35 Bearsat CHIBears
20072007-10-07Bears 27 — 20 Packersat GBBears
20062006-12-31Packers 26 — 7 Bearsat CHIPackers
20062006-09-10Bears 26 — 0 Packersat GBBears

Bears leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCaleb Williams QB #1836/55, 407 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
Tyson Bagent QB #1730/43, 322 YDS, 1 INT
RushingKyle Monangai RB #2560 CAR, 324 YDS, 3 TD
D'Andre Swift RB #469 CAR, 311 YDS, 3 TD
Caleb Williams QB #1815 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingRome Odunze WR #1514 REC, 233 YDS
Kalif Raymond WR #1421 REC, 220 YDS, 1 TD
Luther Burden III WR #1019 REC, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Colston Loveland TE #8411 REC, 91 YDS
Defense
TacklesDillon Thieneman S #3130
Devin Bush LB #1219
Tyrique Stevenson CB #2918
SacksDayo Odeyingbo DE #553
Montez Sweat DE #982
Austin Booker DE #942
InterceptionsT.J. Edwards LB #531
Malik Muhammad CB #241
Dillon Thieneman S #311
full roster and per-player history

Packers leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJordan Love QB #1087/154, 1041 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
RushingMarShawn Lloyd RB #3230 CAR, 81 YDS
Kaleb Johnson RB #2620 CAR, 80 YDS
Chris Brooks RB #3015 CAR, 70 YDS
ReceivingChristian Watson WR #920 REC, 331 YDS, 4 TD
Matthew Golden WR #018 REC, 274 YDS, 2 TD
Tucker Kraft TE #8515 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD
Jonnu Smith TE #815 REC, 85 YDS
Defense
TacklesEvan Williams S #3336
Edgerrin Cooper LB #5630
Zaire Franklin LB #4429
SacksEdgerrin Cooper LB #563
Lukas Van Ness DE #902.5
Xavier McKinney S #291
InterceptionsXavier McKinney S #291
Keisean Nixon CB #251
Evan Williams S #331
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.