Wk 3 · 2026
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers — Thu, Sep 24
Thu, Sep 24 ·
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
· Prime Video FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
8:15pET
GB -4.5 · total 42.5 DraftKings opened -7.5 · 3 toward ATL
Ratings differential GB by 1.3
What is at stake
An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Falcons form
L 23-30vs BALW 45-24at NOW 35-14at GBL 3-34vs CARL 13-20at PIT
2026 season
Packers form
W 31-7vs CHIW 17-14at TBL 14-35vs ATLW 20-17at NYJL 22-39at MIN
2026 season
Falcons this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Packers this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Falcons | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Panthers NFC | vs L 3-34 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Saints NFC | at W 45-24 preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | vs W 31-7 preview |
| Buccaneers NFC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at W 17-14 preview |
| Vikings NFC | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at L 22-39 preview |
| Lions NFC | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Falcons leads 7–6 · Falcons has won the last 2
13 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.8 points toward Packers
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-24 | Falcons 35 — 14 Packers | at GB | Falcons |
| 2023 | 2023-09-17 | Packers 24 — 25 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2020 | 2020-10-05 | Falcons 16 — 30 Packers | at GB | Packers |
| 2018 | 2018-12-09 | Falcons 20 — 34 Packers | at GB | Packers |
| 2017 | 2017-09-17 | Packers 23 — 34 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2016 | 2017-01-22 | Packers 21 — 44 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons playoffs |
| 2016 | 2016-10-30 | Packers 32 — 33 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2014 | 2014-12-08 | Falcons 37 — 43 Packers | at GB | Packers |
| 2013 | 2013-12-08 | Falcons 21 — 22 Packers | at GB | Packers |
| 2011 | 2011-10-09 | Packers 25 — 14 Falcons | at ATL | Packers |
| 2010 | 2011-01-15 | Packers 48 — 21 Falcons | at ATL | Packers playoffs |
| 2010 | 2010-11-28 | Packers 17 — 20 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2008 | 2008-10-05 | Falcons 27 — 24 Packers | at GB | Falcons |
Falcons leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 33/45, 479 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 22/39, 229 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 85 CAR, 494 YDS, 4 TD |
| Brian Robinson Jr. RB #15 | 44 CAR, 194 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 2 CAR, 20 YDS | |
| Receiving | Drake London WR #5 | 20 REC, 370 YDS |
| Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 14 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jahan Dotson WR #4 | 6 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. TE #8 | 5 REC, 67 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Xavier Watts S #31 | 24 |
| C.J. Henderson CB #26 | 23 | |
| Mike Hughes CB #21 | 19 | |
| Sacks | Za'Darius Smith DE #91 | 2.5 |
| Samson Ebukam DE #52 | 1.5 | |
| Cameron Thomas DE #99 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier Watts S #31 | 1 |
Packers leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jordan Love QB #10 | 87/154, 1041 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | MarShawn Lloyd RB #32 | 30 CAR, 81 YDS |
| Kaleb Johnson RB #26 | 20 CAR, 80 YDS | |
| Chris Brooks RB #30 | 15 CAR, 70 YDS | |
| Receiving | Christian Watson WR #9 | 20 REC, 331 YDS, 4 TD |
| Matthew Golden WR #0 | 18 REC, 274 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Tucker Kraft TE #85 | 15 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jonnu Smith TE #81 | 5 REC, 85 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Evan Williams S #33 | 36 |
| Edgerrin Cooper LB #56 | 30 | |
| Zaire Franklin LB #44 | 29 | |
| Sacks | Edgerrin Cooper LB #56 | 3 |
| Lukas Van Ness DE #90 | 2.5 | |
| Xavier McKinney S #29 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier McKinney S #29 | 1 |
| Keisean Nixon CB #25 | 1 | |
| Evan Williams S #33 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.