Wk 1 · 2026
New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks — Wed, Sep 9
Wed, Sep 9 ·
Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
· NBC FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
8:20pET
SEA -3 · total 44.5 DraftKings opened -3.5 · 0.5 toward NE
Ratings differential SEA by 0.6
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Patriots form
W 45-17vs LVW 29-26at BUFL 6-35at JAXW 20-3vs PITL 10-13at SEA
2026 season
Seahawks form
L 14-17at DENL 29-32vs SFW 30-23vs LACL 31-33at WSHW 31-7at ARI
2026 season
Patriots this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-1-1 · 75% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Seahawks this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread1-3-2 · 25% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Patriots | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Raiders AFC | vs W 45-17 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Chargers AFC | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs W 30-23 preview |
| Chiefs AFC | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Broncos AFC | vs Wk 17 · scheduled preview | at L 14-17 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Seahawks leads 6–2 · Seahawks has won the last 5
8 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.5 points toward Seahawks
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-09 | Patriots 10 — 13 Seahawks | at SEA | Seahawks |
| 2025 | 2026-02-08 | Seahawks 29 — 13 Patriots | neutral | Seahawks playoffs |
| 2024 | 2024-09-15 | Seahawks 23 — 20 Patriots | at NE | Seahawks |
| 2020 | 2020-09-20 | Patriots 30 — 35 Seahawks | at SEA | Seahawks |
| 2016 | 2016-11-13 | Seahawks 31 — 24 Patriots | at NE | Seahawks |
| 2014 | 2015-02-01 | Patriots 28 — 24 Seahawks | neutral | Patriots playoffs |
| 2012 | 2012-10-14 | Patriots 23 — 24 Seahawks | at SEA | Seahawks |
| 2008 | 2008-12-07 | Patriots 24 — 21 Seahawks | at SEA | Patriots |
Patriots leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Drake Maye QB #10 | 73/117, 854 YDS, 4 TD, 7 INT |
| Tommy DeVito QB #16 | 3/5, 30 YDS | |
| Rushing | Rhamondre Stevenson RB #38 | 44 CAR, 163 YDS, 1 TD |
| TreVeyon Henderson RB #32 | 38 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Drake Maye QB #10 | 23 CAR, 136 YDS | |
| Receiving | Mack Hollins WR #13 | 15 REC, 209 YDS |
| Romeo Doubs WR #87 | 12 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Hunter Henry TE #85 | 12 REC, 133 YDS | |
| Rhamondre Stevenson RB #38 | 12 REC, 90 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Robert Spillane LB #14 | 29 |
| Christian Elliss LB #53 | 25 | |
| Charles Woods CB #22 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Elijah Ponder LB #91 | 2.5 |
| Gabe Jacas LB #50 | 1.5 | |
| Dre'Mont Jones DE #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Marcus Jones CB #25 | 1 |
| Craig Woodson S #4 | 1 | |
| Gabe Jacas LB #50 | 1 |
Seahawks leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Sam Darnold QB #14 | 45/69, 560 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT |
| Drew Lock QB #2 | 35/48, 422 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Rushing | Emanuel Wilson RB #27 | 53 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jadarian Price RB #8 | 28 CAR, 119 YDS | |
| George Holani RB #36 | 22 CAR, 70 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR #11 | 32 REC, 481 YDS, 6 TD |
| Cooper Kupp WR #10 | 9 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD | |
| AJ Barner TE #88 | 9 REC, 102 YDS | |
| Rashid Shaheed WR #22 | 7 REC, 73 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Ernest Jones IV LB #13 | 41 |
| Drake Thomas LB #32 | 30 | |
| Devon Witherspoon CB #21 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Leonard Williams DT #99 | 3 |
| Derick Hall LB #58 | 2 | |
| Jarran Reed DT #90 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Julian Love S #20 | 2 |
| Ernest Jones IV LB #13 | 1 | |
| Josh Jobe CB #29 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.