Wk 5 · 2026
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots — Sun, Oct 11
Sun, Oct 11 ·
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
· CBS
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 44 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC West · no games yet
at
1:00pET
NE -8.5 · total 44.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NE by 9.4
AFC East · no games yet
What is at stake
An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Raiders form
No completed games on record.
Patriots form
No completed games on record.
Raiders this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Patriots this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Raiders | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins AFC | vs Wk 1 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Chargers AFC | at Wk 2 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Chiefs AFC | vs Wk 4 · scheduled preview | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview |
| Bills AFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 4 · scheduled preview |
| Jets AFC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Seahawks NFC | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 1 · scheduled preview |
| Broncos AFC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 17 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Patriots leads 5–3 · Raiders has won the last 3
8 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
8.2 points toward Patriots
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-07 | Raiders 20 — 13 Patriots | at NE | Raiders |
| 2023 | 2023-10-15 | Patriots 17 — 21 Raiders | at LV | Raiders |
| 2022 | 2022-12-18 | Patriots 24 — 30 Raiders | at LV | Raiders |
| 2020 | 2020-09-27 | Raiders 20 — 36 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2017 | 2017-11-19 | Patriots 33 — 8 Raiders | neutral | Patriots |
| 2014 | 2014-09-21 | Raiders 9 — 16 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2011 | 2011-10-02 | Patriots 31 — 19 Raiders | at LV | Patriots |
| 2008 | 2008-12-14 | Patriots 49 — 26 Raiders | at LV | Patriots |
Raiders leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Geno Smith QB #7 | 302/448, 3025 YDS, 19 TD, 17 INT |
| Kenny Pickett QB #12 | 28/45, 188 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Ashton Jeanty RB #2 | 266 CAR, 975 YDS, 5 TD |
| Geno Smith QB #7 | 41 CAR, 109 YDS | |
| Raheem Mostert RB #31 | 22 CAR, 104 YDS | |
| Receiving | Tre Tucker WR #1 | 57 REC, 696 YDS, 5 TD |
| Brock Bowers TE #89 | 64 REC, 680 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Jakobi Meyers WR #3 | 33 REC, 352 YDS | |
| Ashton Jeanty RB #2 | 55 REC, 346 YDS, 5 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Devin White LB #45 | 174 |
| Jeremy Chinn S #11 | 114 | |
| Isaiah Pola-Mao S #20 | 92 | |
| Sacks | Maxx Crosby DE #98 | 10 |
| Malcolm Koonce DE #51 | 4.5 | |
| Tyree Wilson DE #98 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Kyu Blu Kelly CB #36 | 3 |
| Isaiah Pola-Mao S #20 | 2 | |
| Maxx Crosby DE #98 | 1 |
Patriots leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Drake Maye QB #10 | 354/492, 4394 YDS, 31 TD, 8 INT |
| Joshua Dobbs QB #6 | 7/10, 65 YDS | |
| Rushing | TreVeyon Henderson RB #32 | 180 CAR, 911 YDS, 9 TD |
| Rhamondre Stevenson RB #38 | 130 CAR, 603 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Drake Maye QB #10 | 103 CAR, 450 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Stefon Diggs WR #18 | 85 REC, 1013 YDS, 4 TD |
| Hunter Henry TE #85 | 60 REC, 768 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Kayshon Boutte WR #88 | 33 REC, 551 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Mack Hollins WR #13 | 46 REC, 550 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Robert Spillane LB #14 | 97 |
| Christian Elliss LB #53 | 94 | |
| Jack Gibbens LB #50 | 81 | |
| Sacks | Harold Landry III LB #2 | 8.5 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson LB #45 | 7.5 | |
| Elijah Ponder LB #91 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Jaylinn Hawkins S #21 | 4 |
| Marcus Jones CB #25 | 3 | |
| Robert Spillane LB #14 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.