Wk 7 · 2026
New England Patriots at Chicago Bears — Thu, Oct 22
Thu, Oct 22 ·
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
· Prime Video
AFC East · 3-2
at
8:15pET
CHI -1.5 · total 48.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NE by 0.7
NFC North · 3-2
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Patriots form
W 45-17vs LVW 29-26at BUFL 6-35at JAXW 20-3vs PITL 10-13at SEA
2026 season
Bears form
L 7-31at GBW 23-12vs NYJW 27-7vs PHIL 3-9vs MINW 59-37at CAR
2026 season
Patriots this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-1-1 · 75% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Bears this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 8
| Opponent | Patriots | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Seahawks NFC | at L 10-13 preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Jaguars AFC | at L 6-35 preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Bills AFC | at W 29-26 preview | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview |
| Jets AFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | vs W 23-12 preview |
| Dolphins AFC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at L 7-31 preview |
| Lions NFC | N Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Vikings NFC | vs Wk 14 · scheduled preview | vs L 3-9 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Patriots leads 5–1 · Patriots won the last one
6 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
10.8 points toward Patriots
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-11-10 | Patriots 19 — 3 Bears | at CHI | Patriots |
| 2022 | 2022-10-24 | Bears 33 — 14 Patriots | at NE | Bears |
| 2018 | 2018-10-21 | Patriots 38 — 31 Bears | at CHI | Patriots |
| 2014 | 2014-10-26 | Bears 23 — 51 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2010 | 2010-12-12 | Patriots 36 — 7 Bears | at CHI | Patriots |
| 2006 | 2006-11-26 | Bears 13 — 17 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
Patriots leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Drake Maye QB #10 | 73/117, 854 YDS, 4 TD, 7 INT |
| Tommy DeVito QB #16 | 3/5, 30 YDS | |
| Rushing | Rhamondre Stevenson RB #38 | 44 CAR, 163 YDS, 1 TD |
| TreVeyon Henderson RB #32 | 38 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Drake Maye QB #10 | 23 CAR, 136 YDS | |
| Receiving | Mack Hollins WR #13 | 15 REC, 209 YDS |
| Romeo Doubs WR #87 | 12 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Hunter Henry TE #85 | 12 REC, 133 YDS | |
| Rhamondre Stevenson RB #38 | 12 REC, 90 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Robert Spillane LB #14 | 29 |
| Christian Elliss LB #53 | 25 | |
| Charles Woods CB #22 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Elijah Ponder LB #91 | 2.5 |
| Gabe Jacas LB #50 | 1.5 | |
| Dre'Mont Jones DE #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Marcus Jones CB #25 | 1 |
| Craig Woodson S #4 | 1 | |
| Gabe Jacas LB #50 | 1 |
Bears leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Caleb Williams QB #18 | 36/55, 407 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT |
| Tyson Bagent QB #17 | 30/43, 322 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Kyle Monangai RB #25 | 60 CAR, 324 YDS, 3 TD |
| D'Andre Swift RB #4 | 69 CAR, 311 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Caleb Williams QB #18 | 15 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Rome Odunze WR #15 | 14 REC, 233 YDS |
| Kalif Raymond WR #14 | 21 REC, 220 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Luther Burden III WR #10 | 19 REC, 219 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Colston Loveland TE #84 | 11 REC, 91 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dillon Thieneman S #31 | 30 |
| Devin Bush LB #12 | 19 | |
| Tyrique Stevenson CB #29 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Dayo Odeyingbo DE #55 | 3 |
| Montez Sweat DE #98 | 2 | |
| Austin Booker DE #94 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | T.J. Edwards LB #53 | 1 |
| Malik Muhammad CB #24 | 1 | |
| Dillon Thieneman S #31 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.