Wk 17 · 2026
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots — Sun, Jan 3
Sun, Jan 3 ·
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 127 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC West · no games yet
at
TBDET
NE -2.5 · total 42.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NE by 2.7
AFC East · no games yet
What is at stake
An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings. Flex Game: 1/2 or 1/3.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Broncos form
No completed games on record.
Patriots form
No completed games on record.
Broncos this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Patriots this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 9
| Opponent | Broncos | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Chiefs AFC | at Wk 1 · scheduled preview | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview |
| Jaguars AFC | vs Wk 2 · scheduled preview | at Wk 3 · scheduled preview |
| Chargers AFC | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Seahawks NFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 1 · scheduled preview |
| Raiders AFC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| Steelers AFC | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 2 · scheduled preview |
| Dolphins AFC | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Jets AFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Bills AFC | vs Wk 16 · scheduled preview | at Wk 4 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Patriots leads 10–6 · Patriots has won the last 2
16 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
8.1 points toward Patriots
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2026-01-25 | Patriots 10 — 7 Broncos | at DEN | Patriots playoffs |
| 2023 | 2023-12-24 | Patriots 26 — 23 Broncos | at DEN | Patriots |
| 2020 | 2020-10-18 | Broncos 18 — 12 Patriots | at NE | Broncos |
| 2017 | 2017-11-12 | Patriots 41 — 16 Broncos | at DEN | Patriots |
| 2016 | 2016-12-18 | Patriots 16 — 3 Broncos | at DEN | Patriots |
| 2015 | 2016-01-24 | Patriots 18 — 20 Broncos | at DEN | Broncos playoffs |
| 2015 | 2015-11-29 | Patriots 24 — 30 Broncos | at DEN | Broncos |
| 2014 | 2014-11-02 | Broncos 21 — 43 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2013 | 2014-01-19 | Patriots 16 — 26 Broncos | at DEN | Broncos playoffs |
| 2013 | 2013-11-24 | Broncos 31 — 34 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2012 | 2012-10-07 | Broncos 21 — 31 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2011 | 2012-01-14 | Broncos 10 — 45 Patriots | at NE | Patriots playoffs |
| 2011 | 2011-12-18 | Patriots 41 — 23 Broncos | at DEN | Patriots |
| 2009 | 2009-10-11 | Patriots 17 — 20 Broncos | at DEN | Broncos |
| 2008 | 2008-10-20 | Broncos 7 — 41 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2006 | 2006-09-24 | Broncos 17 — 7 Patriots | at NE | Broncos |
Broncos leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Bo Nix QB #10 | 388/612, 3931 YDS, 25 TD, 11 INT |
| RJ Harvey RB #12 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | J.K. Dobbins RB #27 | 153 CAR, 772 YDS, 4 TD |
| RJ Harvey RB #12 | 146 CAR, 540 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Bo Nix QB #10 | 83 CAR, 356 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | Courtland Sutton WR #14 | 74 REC, 1017 YDS, 7 TD |
| Troy Franklin WR #11 | 65 REC, 709 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Evan Engram TE #1 | 50 REC, 461 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Pat Bryant WR #13 | 31 REC, 378 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Alex Singleton LB #49 | 135 |
| Talanoa Hufanga S #9 | 106 | |
| Riley Moss CB #21 | 80 | |
| Sacks | Nik Bonitto LB #15 | 14 |
| Jonathon Cooper LB #0 | 8 | |
| John Franklin-Myers DE #91 | 7.5 | |
| Interceptions | Ja'Quan McMillian CB #29 | 2 |
| Dondrea Tillman LB #92 | 2 | |
| Dre Greenlaw LB #57 | 1 |
Patriots leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Drake Maye QB #10 | 354/492, 4394 YDS, 31 TD, 8 INT |
| Joshua Dobbs QB #6 | 7/10, 65 YDS | |
| Rushing | TreVeyon Henderson RB #32 | 180 CAR, 911 YDS, 9 TD |
| Rhamondre Stevenson RB #38 | 130 CAR, 603 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Drake Maye QB #10 | 103 CAR, 450 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Stefon Diggs WR #18 | 85 REC, 1013 YDS, 4 TD |
| Hunter Henry TE #85 | 60 REC, 768 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Kayshon Boutte WR #88 | 33 REC, 551 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Mack Hollins WR #13 | 46 REC, 550 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Robert Spillane LB #14 | 97 |
| Christian Elliss LB #53 | 94 | |
| Jack Gibbens LB #50 | 81 | |
| Sacks | Harold Landry III LB #2 | 8.5 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson LB #45 | 7.5 | |
| Elijah Ponder LB #91 | 4 | |
| Interceptions | Jaylinn Hawkins S #21 | 4 |
| Marcus Jones CB #25 | 3 | |
| Robert Spillane LB #14 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.