Wk 10 · 2026
New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions — Sun, Nov 15
Sun, Nov 15 ·
FC Bayern Munich Stadium, Munich
· Fox
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 30 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC East · 3-2
vs
9:30aET
DET -1.5 · total 48.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NE by 4.1
NFC North · 3-2
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record. Neither team is at home for this one: it is played at a neutral site. NFL Munich Game.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
no home-field adjustment at a neutral site.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Patriots form
W 45-17vs LVW 29-26at BUFL 6-35at JAXW 20-3vs PITL 10-13at SEA
2026 season
Lions form
W 45-21at ARIL 26-32at CARW 31-24vs NYJL 31-41at BUFW 31-30vs NO
2026 season
Patriots this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-1-1 · 75% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lions this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Patriots | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Bills AFC | at W 29-26 preview | at L 31-41 preview |
| Jets AFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | vs W 31-24 preview |
| Bears NFC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Dolphins AFC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Vikings NFC | vs Wk 14 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Patriots leads 4–1 · Patriots won the last one
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
13.2 points toward Patriots
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022-10-09 | Lions 0 — 29 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2018 | 2018-09-23 | Patriots 10 — 26 Lions | at DET | Lions |
| 2014 | 2014-11-23 | Lions 9 — 34 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
| 2010 | 2010-11-25 | Patriots 45 — 24 Lions | at DET | Patriots |
| 2006 | 2006-12-03 | Lions 21 — 28 Patriots | at NE | Patriots |
Patriots leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Drake Maye QB #10 | 73/117, 854 YDS, 4 TD, 7 INT |
| Tommy DeVito QB #16 | 3/5, 30 YDS | |
| Rushing | Rhamondre Stevenson RB #38 | 44 CAR, 163 YDS, 1 TD |
| TreVeyon Henderson RB #32 | 38 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Drake Maye QB #10 | 23 CAR, 136 YDS | |
| Receiving | Mack Hollins WR #13 | 15 REC, 209 YDS |
| Romeo Doubs WR #87 | 12 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Hunter Henry TE #85 | 12 REC, 133 YDS | |
| Rhamondre Stevenson RB #38 | 12 REC, 90 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Robert Spillane LB #14 | 29 |
| Christian Elliss LB #53 | 25 | |
| Charles Woods CB #22 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Elijah Ponder LB #91 | 2.5 |
| Gabe Jacas LB #50 | 1.5 | |
| Dre'Mont Jones DE #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Marcus Jones CB #25 | 1 |
| Craig Woodson S #4 | 1 | |
| Gabe Jacas LB #50 | 1 |
Lions leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jared Goff QB #16 | 109/161, 1214 YDS, 9 TD |
| Rushing | Jahmyr Gibbs RB #0 | 80 CAR, 353 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sione Vaki RB #33 | 9 CAR, 40 YDS | |
| Jared Goff QB #16 | 9 CAR, 15 YDS | |
| Receiving | Amon-Ra St. Brown WR #14 | 31 REC, 303 YDS, 5 TD |
| Jameson Williams WR #1 | 16 REC, 229 YDS | |
| Sam LaPorta TE #87 | 22 REC, 228 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jahmyr Gibbs RB #0 | 22 REC, 187 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jack Campbell LB #46 | 33 |
| D.J. Reed CB #4 | 30 | |
| Chuck Clark S #36 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Aidan Hutchinson DE #97 | 3.5 |
| DJ Wonnum LB #98 | 3 | |
| Alim McNeill DT #54 | 3 | |
| Interceptions | Chuck Clark S #36 | 1 |
| Derrick Barnes LB #55 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.