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Wk 8 · 2026

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins — Sun, Nov 1

Sun, Nov 1 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL · CBS

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 16 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC East · 3-2
at
4:25pET
NE -7 · total 45.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NE by 9.9
AFC East · 0-5

What is at stake

An AFC East game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the AFC East finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Patriots: +5.7#3
Efficiency margin
Dolphins: -5.9#30
Patriots: +1.7#13
Offense
Dolphins: -4.3#31
Patriots: +4.0#3
Defense
Dolphins: -1.5#25
Patriots: 28.8
Points / game
Dolphins: 20.4
Patriots: 18.8
Points allowed / game
Dolphins: 24.9
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Patriots form

W 45-17vs LVW 29-26at BUFL 6-35at JAXW 20-3vs PITL 10-13at SEA
2026 season

Dolphins form

L 24-31vs CINL 10-15at MINL 10-24vs KCL 13-35at SFL 13-27at LV
2026 season

Patriots this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-1-1 · 75% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Dolphins this season

Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 10

OpponentPatriotsDolphins
Bills
AFC
at W 29-26 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Raiders
AFC
vs W 45-17 previewat L 13-27 preview
Jets
AFC
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Bears
NFC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 14 · scheduled preview
Packers
NFC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 15 · scheduled preview
Lions
NFC
N Wk 10 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Chargers
AFC
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 16 · scheduled preview
Vikings
NFC
vs Wk 14 · scheduled previewat L 10-15 preview
Chiefs
AFC
at Wk 15 · scheduled previewvs L 10-24 preview
Broncos
AFC
vs Wk 17 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Patriots leads 23–17 · Patriots has won the last 2
40 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.5 points toward Patriots
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252026-01-04Dolphins 10 — 38 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20252025-09-14Patriots 33 — 27 Dolphinsat MIAPatriots
20242024-11-24Patriots 15 — 34 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20242024-10-06Dolphins 15 — 10 Patriotsat NEDolphins
20232023-10-29Patriots 17 — 31 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20232023-09-17Dolphins 24 — 17 Patriotsat NEDolphins
20222023-01-01Dolphins 21 — 23 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20222022-09-11Patriots 7 — 20 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20212022-01-09Patriots 24 — 33 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20212021-09-12Dolphins 17 — 16 Patriotsat NEDolphins
20202020-12-20Patriots 12 — 22 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20202020-09-13Dolphins 11 — 21 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20192019-12-29Dolphins 27 — 24 Patriotsat NEDolphins
20192019-09-15Patriots 43 — 0 Dolphinsat MIAPatriots
20182018-12-09Patriots 33 — 34 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20182018-09-30Dolphins 7 — 38 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20172017-12-11Patriots 20 — 27 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20172017-11-26Dolphins 17 — 35 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20162017-01-01Patriots 35 — 14 Dolphinsat MIAPatriots
20162016-09-18Dolphins 24 — 31 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20152016-01-03Patriots 10 — 20 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20152015-10-29Dolphins 7 — 36 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20142014-12-14Dolphins 13 — 41 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20142014-09-07Patriots 20 — 33 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20132013-12-15Patriots 20 — 24 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20132013-10-27Dolphins 17 — 27 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20122012-12-30Dolphins 0 — 28 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20122012-12-02Patriots 23 — 16 Dolphinsat MIAPatriots
20112011-12-24Dolphins 24 — 27 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20112011-09-12Patriots 38 — 24 Dolphinsat MIAPatriots
20102011-01-02Dolphins 7 — 38 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20102010-10-04Patriots 41 — 14 Dolphinsat MIAPatriots
20092009-12-06Patriots 21 — 22 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20092009-11-08Dolphins 17 — 27 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20082008-11-23Patriots 48 — 28 Dolphinsat MIAPatriots
20082008-09-21Dolphins 38 — 13 Patriotsat NEDolphins
20072007-12-23Dolphins 7 — 28 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20072007-10-21Patriots 49 — 28 Dolphinsat MIAPatriots
20062006-12-10Patriots 0 — 21 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20062006-10-08Dolphins 10 — 20 Patriotsat NEPatriots

Patriots leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDrake Maye QB #1073/117, 854 YDS, 4 TD, 7 INT
Tommy DeVito QB #163/5, 30 YDS
RushingRhamondre Stevenson RB #3844 CAR, 163 YDS, 1 TD
TreVeyon Henderson RB #3238 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
Drake Maye QB #1023 CAR, 136 YDS
ReceivingMack Hollins WR #1315 REC, 209 YDS
Romeo Doubs WR #8712 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD
Hunter Henry TE #8512 REC, 133 YDS
Rhamondre Stevenson RB #3812 REC, 90 YDS
Defense
TacklesRobert Spillane LB #1429
Christian Elliss LB #5325
Charles Woods CB #2218
SacksElijah Ponder LB #912.5
Gabe Jacas LB #501.5
Dre'Mont Jones DE #51
InterceptionsMarcus Jones CB #251
Craig Woodson S #41
Gabe Jacas LB #501

Dolphins leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMalik Willis QB #258/103, 712 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingOllie Gordon II RB #029 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD
De'Von Achane RB #2834 CAR, 127 YDS
Malik Willis QB #219 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingMalik Washington WR #617 REC, 219 YDS
Caleb Douglas WR #77 REC, 113 YDS
Ryan Miller WR #843 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Bell WR #185 REC, 92 YDS
Defense
TacklesJacob Rodriguez LB #1046
Jordyn Brooks LB #2035
Michael Taaffe S #3128
SacksZach Sieler DT #922
Josh Uche LB #91
Chop Robinson LB #441
InterceptionsDante Trader Jr. S #111
Jacob Rodriguez LB #101
Michael Taaffe S #311
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.