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Wk 14 · 2026

Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots — Thu, Dec 10

Thu, Dec 10 · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA · Prime Video

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 55 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NFC North · 5-0
at
8:15pET
NE -4.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NE by 3.1
AFC East · 3-2

What is at stake

An interconference game, NFC against AFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Vikings: +4.3#6
Efficiency margin
Patriots: +5.7#3
Vikings: -1.2#22
Offense
Patriots: +1.7#13
Vikings: +5.6#1
Defense
Patriots: +4.0#3
Vikings: 20.2
Points / game
Patriots: 28.8
Vikings: 19.6
Points allowed / game
Patriots: 18.8
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Vikings form

W 23-13at NOW 15-10vs MIAW 23-16at TBW 9-3at CHIW 39-22vs GB
2026 season

Patriots form

W 45-17vs LVW 29-26at BUFL 6-35at JAXW 20-3vs PITL 10-13at SEA
2026 season

Vikings this season

Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

Patriots this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-1-1 · 75% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentVikingsPatriots
Packers
NFC
vs W 39-22 previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Bears
NFC
at W 9-3 previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Dolphins
AFC
vs W 15-10 previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Lions
NFC
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewN Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Bills
AFC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat W 29-26 preview
Jets
AFC
at Wk 17 · scheduled previewvs Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Patriots leads 4–1 · Vikings won the last one
5 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 12.8 points toward Patriots
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20222022-11-24Patriots 26 — 33 Vikingsat MINVikings
20182018-12-02Vikings 10 — 24 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20142014-09-14Patriots 30 — 7 Vikingsat MINPatriots
20102010-10-31Vikings 18 — 28 Patriotsat NEPatriots
20062006-10-30Patriots 31 — 7 Vikingsat MINPatriots

Vikings leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKyler Murray QB #145/71, 433 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Carson Wentz QB #1123/39, 276 YDS, 3 TD
RushingAaron Jones Sr. RB #3372 CAR, 297 YDS, 1 TD
Jordan Mason RB #2715 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
Kyler Murray QB #110 CAR, 42 YDS
ReceivingT.J. Hockenson TE #8722 REC, 195 YDS, 1 TD
Justin Jefferson WR #1813 REC, 179 YDS, 2 TD
Jordan Addison WR #311 REC, 163 YDS, 1 TD
Aaron Jones Sr. RB #339 REC, 68 YDS
Defense
TacklesBlake Cashman LB #5133
Joshua Metellus S #4425
Eric Wilson LB #5524
SacksDallas Turner LB #155.5
Andrew Van Ginkel LB #433
Blake Cashman LB #512.5
InterceptionsAndrew Van Ginkel LB #431
Byron Murphy Jr. CB #71
Isaiah Rodgers CB #21

Patriots leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDrake Maye QB #1073/117, 854 YDS, 4 TD, 7 INT
Tommy DeVito QB #163/5, 30 YDS
RushingRhamondre Stevenson RB #3844 CAR, 163 YDS, 1 TD
TreVeyon Henderson RB #3238 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
Drake Maye QB #1023 CAR, 136 YDS
ReceivingMack Hollins WR #1315 REC, 209 YDS
Romeo Doubs WR #8712 REC, 203 YDS, 2 TD
Hunter Henry TE #8512 REC, 133 YDS
Rhamondre Stevenson RB #3812 REC, 90 YDS
Defense
TacklesRobert Spillane LB #1429
Christian Elliss LB #5325
Charles Woods CB #2218
SacksElijah Ponder LB #912.5
Gabe Jacas LB #501.5
Dre'Mont Jones DE #51
InterceptionsMarcus Jones CB #251
Craig Woodson S #41
Gabe Jacas LB #501
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.