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Wk 11 · 2026

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears — Sun, Nov 22

Sun, Nov 22 · Soldier Field, Chicago, IL · Fox

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 37 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NFC South · 1-4
at
1:00pET
CHI -6.5 · total 46.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential CHI by 8.8
NFC North · 3-2

What is at stake

An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Saints: -3.8#27
Efficiency margin
Bears: +3.3#9
Saints: -1.3#24
Offense
Bears: +2.1#9
Saints: -2.5#28
Defense
Bears: +1.2#9
Saints: 18.0
Points / game
Bears: 25.9
Saints: 22.5
Points allowed / game
Bears: 24.4
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Saints form

L 13-23vs MINL 24-45vs ATLL 27-35vs LVW 24-17at BALL 30-31at DET
2026 season

Bears form

L 7-31at GBW 23-12vs NYJW 27-7vs PHIL 3-9vs MINW 59-37at CAR
2026 season

Saints this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Bears this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentSaintsBears
Lions
NFC
at L 30-31 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Falcons
NFC
vs L 24-45 previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Vikings
NFC
vs L 13-23 previewvs L 3-9 preview
Panthers
NFC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat W 59-37 preview
Packers
NFC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat L 7-31 preview
Buccaneers
NFC
at Wk 15 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Saints leads 8–4 · Bears won the last one
12 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.8 points toward Saints
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-19Saints 14 — 26 Bearsat CHIBears
20232023-11-05Bears 17 — 24 Saintsat NOSaints
20202021-01-10Bears 9 — 21 Saintsat NOSaints playoffs
20202020-11-01Saints 26 — 23 Bearsat CHISaints
20192019-10-20Saints 36 — 25 Bearsat CHISaints
20172017-10-29Bears 12 — 20 Saintsat NOSaints
20142014-12-15Saints 31 — 15 Bearsat CHISaints
20132013-10-06Saints 26 — 18 Bearsat CHISaints
20112011-09-18Bears 13 — 30 Saintsat NOSaints
20082008-12-11Saints 24 — 27 Bearsat CHIBears
20072007-12-30Saints 25 — 33 Bearsat CHIBears
20062007-01-21Saints 14 — 39 Bearsat CHIBears playoffs

Saints leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTyler Shough QB #6121/180, 1203 YDS, 9 TD, 3 INT
RushingTravis Etienne Jr. RB #330 CAR, 128 YDS
Alvin Kamara RB #4125 CAR, 74 YDS, 2 TD
Tyler Shough QB #616 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingChris Olave WR #1235 REC, 491 YDS, 1 TD
Juwan Johnson TE #8321 REC, 232 YDS, 3 TD
Devaughn Vele WR #1421 REC, 226 YDS, 2 TD
Noah Fant TE #878 REC, 66 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJonas Sanker S #726
Pete Werner LB #2025
Kaden Elliss LB #5524
SacksChase Young DE #993.5
Carl Granderson DE #961
Pete Werner LB #201
InterceptionsJulian Blackmon S #231

Bears leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCaleb Williams QB #1836/55, 407 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
Tyson Bagent QB #1730/43, 322 YDS, 1 INT
RushingKyle Monangai RB #2560 CAR, 324 YDS, 3 TD
D'Andre Swift RB #469 CAR, 311 YDS, 3 TD
Caleb Williams QB #1815 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingRome Odunze WR #1514 REC, 233 YDS
Kalif Raymond WR #1421 REC, 220 YDS, 1 TD
Luther Burden III WR #1019 REC, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Colston Loveland TE #8411 REC, 91 YDS
Defense
TacklesDillon Thieneman S #3130
Devin Bush LB #1219
Tyrique Stevenson CB #2918
SacksDayo Odeyingbo DE #553
Montez Sweat DE #982
Austin Booker DE #942
InterceptionsT.J. Edwards LB #531
Malik Muhammad CB #241
Dillon Thieneman S #311
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.