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Wk 18 · 2026

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints — Sun, Jan 10

Sun, Jan 10 · Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

Weather

This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
NFC South · 1-4
at
TBDET
TB -1.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NO by 0.2
NFC South · 1-4

What is at stake

An NFC South game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the NFC South finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings. Flex Game: 1/9 or 1/10.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Buccaneers: -2.3#21
Efficiency margin
Saints: -3.8#27
Buccaneers: -2.0#25
Offense
Saints: -1.3#24
Buccaneers: -0.3#18
Defense
Saints: -2.5#28
Buccaneers: 22.4
Points / game
Saints: 18.0
Buccaneers: 24.2
Points allowed / game
Saints: 22.5
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Buccaneers form

W 24-16at DALL 14-17vs GBL 16-23vs MINL 19-23vs CLEL 27-33at CIN
2026 season

Saints form

L 13-23vs MINL 24-45vs ATLL 27-35vs LVW 24-17at BALL 30-31at DET
2026 season

Buccaneers this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Saints this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 10

OpponentBuccaneersSaints
Bengals
AFC
at L 27-33 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Browns
AFC
vs L 19-23 previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Vikings
NFC
vs L 16-23 previewvs L 13-23 preview
Packers
NFC
vs L 14-17 previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Steelers
AFC
vs Wk 6 · scheduled previewN Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Panthers
NFC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Falcons
NFC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs L 24-45 preview
Bears
NFC
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Lions
NFC
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat L 30-31 preview
Ravens
AFC
at Wk 14 · scheduled previewat W 24-17 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Saints leads 24–17 · Saints won the last one
41 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.0 points toward Saints
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-12-07Saints 24 — 20 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20252025-10-26Buccaneers 23 — 3 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20242025-01-05Saints 19 — 27 Buccaneersat TBBuccaneers
20242024-10-13Buccaneers 51 — 27 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20232023-12-31Saints 23 — 13 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20232023-10-01Buccaneers 26 — 9 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20222022-12-05Saints 16 — 17 Buccaneersat TBBuccaneers
20222022-09-18Buccaneers 20 — 10 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20212021-12-19Saints 9 — 0 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20212021-10-31Buccaneers 27 — 36 Saintsat NOSaints
20202021-01-17Buccaneers 30 — 20 Saintsat NOBuccaneers playoffs
20202020-11-08Saints 38 — 3 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20202020-09-13Buccaneers 23 — 34 Saintsat NOSaints
20192019-11-17Saints 34 — 17 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20192019-10-06Buccaneers 24 — 31 Saintsat NOSaints
20182018-12-09Saints 28 — 14 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20182018-09-09Buccaneers 48 — 40 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20172017-12-31Saints 24 — 31 Buccaneersat TBBuccaneers
20172017-11-05Buccaneers 10 — 30 Saintsat NOSaints
20162016-12-24Buccaneers 24 — 31 Saintsat NOSaints
20162016-12-11Saints 11 — 16 Buccaneersat TBBuccaneers
20152015-12-13Saints 24 — 17 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20152015-09-20Buccaneers 26 — 19 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20142014-12-28Saints 23 — 20 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20142014-10-05Buccaneers 31 — 37 Saintsat NOSaints
20132013-12-29Buccaneers 17 — 42 Saintsat NOSaints
20132013-09-15Saints 16 — 14 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20122012-12-16Buccaneers 0 — 41 Saintsat NOSaints
20122012-10-21Saints 35 — 28 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20112011-11-06Buccaneers 16 — 27 Saintsat NOSaints
20112011-10-16Saints 20 — 26 Buccaneersat TBBuccaneers
20102011-01-02Buccaneers 23 — 13 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20102010-10-17Saints 31 — 6 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20092009-12-27Buccaneers 20 — 17 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20092009-11-22Saints 38 — 7 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20082008-11-30Saints 20 — 23 Buccaneersat TBBuccaneers
20082008-09-07Buccaneers 20 — 24 Saintsat NOSaints
20072007-12-02Buccaneers 27 — 23 Saintsat NOBuccaneers
20072007-09-16Saints 14 — 31 Buccaneersat TBBuccaneers
20062006-11-05Saints 31 — 14 Buccaneersat TBSaints
20062006-10-08Buccaneers 21 — 24 Saintsat NOSaints

Buccaneers leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBaker Mayfield QB #661/96, 615 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
Jalon Daniels QB #1019/30, 148 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
RushingBucky Irving RB #756 CAR, 241 YDS, 1 TD
Baker Mayfield QB #611 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
Jalon Daniels QB #109 CAR, 64 YDS
ReceivingCade Otton TE #8815 REC, 157 YDS
Emeka Egbuka WR #215 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Godwin Jr. WR #1416 REC, 142 YDS
Ted Hurst III WR #178 REC, 128 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJosiah Trotter LB #4534
Antoine Winfield Jr. S #3124
Alex Anzalone LB #3422
SacksDavid Walker LB #512
Alex Anzalone LB #341
A'Shawn Robinson DT #911
InterceptionsA'Shawn Robinson DT #911
Josiah Trotter LB #451
Jacob Parrish CB #251

Saints leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTyler Shough QB #6121/180, 1203 YDS, 9 TD, 3 INT
RushingTravis Etienne Jr. RB #330 CAR, 128 YDS
Alvin Kamara RB #4125 CAR, 74 YDS, 2 TD
Tyler Shough QB #616 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingChris Olave WR #1235 REC, 491 YDS, 1 TD
Juwan Johnson TE #8321 REC, 232 YDS, 3 TD
Devaughn Vele WR #1421 REC, 226 YDS, 2 TD
Noah Fant TE #878 REC, 66 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJonas Sanker S #726
Pete Werner LB #2025
Kaden Elliss LB #5524
SacksChase Young DE #993.5
Carl Granderson DE #961
Pete Werner LB #201
InterceptionsJulian Blackmon S #231
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.