Wk 12 · 2026
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings — Sun, Nov 29
Sun, Nov 29 ·
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
· FOX
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
NFC South · no games yet
at
1:00pET
MIN -4.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MIN by 4.8
NFC North · no games yet
What is at stake
An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Falcons form
No completed games on record.
Vikings form
No completed games on record.
Falcons this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Vikings this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 8
| Opponent | Falcons | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Panthers NFC | vs Wk 2 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | at Wk 3 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 1 · scheduled preview |
| Saints NFC | at Wk 4 · scheduled preview | at Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 2 · scheduled preview |
| 49ers NFC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | N Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Buccaneers NFC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 3 · scheduled preview |
| Lions NFC | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Commanders NFC | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 16 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Vikings leads 7–4 · Falcons won the last one
11 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.5 points toward Vikings
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-14 | Falcons 22 — 6 Vikings | at MIN | Falcons |
| 2024 | 2024-12-08 | Falcons 21 — 42 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2023 | 2023-11-05 | Vikings 31 — 28 Falcons | at ATL | Vikings |
| 2020 | 2020-10-18 | Falcons 40 — 23 Vikings | at MIN | Falcons |
| 2019 | 2019-09-08 | Falcons 12 — 28 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2017 | 2017-12-03 | Vikings 14 — 9 Falcons | at ATL | Vikings |
| 2015 | 2015-11-29 | Vikings 20 — 10 Falcons | at ATL | Vikings |
| 2014 | 2014-09-28 | Falcons 28 — 41 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2011 | 2011-11-27 | Vikings 14 — 24 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2008 | 2008-12-21 | Falcons 24 — 17 Vikings | at MIN | Falcons |
| 2007 | 2007-09-09 | Falcons 3 — 24 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
Falcons leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 166/276, 1982 YDS, 9 TD, 3 INT |
| Kirk Cousins QB #8 | 166/269, 1721 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT | |
| Rushing | Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 287 CAR, 1478 YDS, 7 TD |
| Tyler Allgeier RB #22 | 143 CAR, 514 YDS, 8 TD | |
| Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 21 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE #8 | 88 REC, 928 YDS, 5 TD |
| Drake London WR #5 | 68 REC, 919 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 79 REC, 820 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Darnell Mooney WR #17 | 32 REC, 443 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Kaden Elliss LB #55 | 107 |
| Jessie Bates III S #3 | 98 | |
| Xavier Watts S #31 | 96 | |
| Sacks | James Pearce Jr. LB #27 | 10.5 |
| Brandon Dorlus DT #54 | 8.5 | |
| Jalon Walker LB #11 | 5.5 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier Watts S #31 | 5 |
| Jessie Bates III S #3 | 3 | |
| Dee Alford CB #23 | 3 |
Vikings leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | J.J. McCarthy QB #9 | 140/243, 1632 YDS, 11 TD, 12 INT |
| Carson Wentz QB #11 | 110/169, 1216 YDS, 6 TD, 5 INT | |
| Rushing | Jordan Mason RB #27 | 159 CAR, 758 YDS, 6 TD |
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB #33 | 132 CAR, 548 YDS, 2 TD | |
| J.J. McCarthy QB #9 | 37 CAR, 181 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Receiving | Justin Jefferson WR #18 | 84 REC, 1048 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jordan Addison WR #3 | 42 REC, 610 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jalen Nailor WR #9 | 29 REC, 444 YDS, 4 TD | |
| T.J. Hockenson TE #87 | 51 REC, 438 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Cashman LB #51 | 144 |
| Eric Wilson LB #55 | 115 | |
| Joshua Metellus S #44 | 86 | |
| Sacks | Dallas Turner LB #15 | 8 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel LB #43 | 7 | |
| Eric Wilson LB #55 | 6.5 | |
| Interceptions | Harrison Smith S #22 | 2 |
| Byron Murphy Jr. CB #7 | 2 | |
| Joshua Metellus S #44 | 2 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.