Wk 12 · 2026
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings — Sun, Nov 29
Sun, Nov 29 ·
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
· Fox
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
NFC South · 2-3
at
1:00pET
MIN -4.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MIN by 6.4
NFC North · 5-0
What is at stake
An NFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 NFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Falcons form
L 23-30vs BALW 45-24at NOW 35-14at GBL 3-34vs CARL 13-20at PIT
2026 season
Vikings form
W 23-13at NOW 15-10vs MIAW 23-16at TBW 9-3at CHIW 39-22vs GB
2026 season
Falcons this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Vikings this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 8
| Opponent | Falcons | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Panthers NFC | vs L 3-34 preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | at W 35-14 preview | vs W 39-22 preview |
| Saints NFC | at W 45-24 preview | at W 23-13 preview |
| Bears NFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at W 9-3 preview |
| 49ers NFC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | N Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Buccaneers NFC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at W 23-16 preview |
| Lions NFC | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Commanders NFC | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 16 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Vikings leads 7–4 · Falcons won the last one
11 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.5 points toward Vikings
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-14 | Falcons 22 — 6 Vikings | at MIN | Falcons |
| 2024 | 2024-12-08 | Falcons 21 — 42 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2023 | 2023-11-05 | Vikings 31 — 28 Falcons | at ATL | Vikings |
| 2020 | 2020-10-18 | Falcons 40 — 23 Vikings | at MIN | Falcons |
| 2019 | 2019-09-08 | Falcons 12 — 28 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2017 | 2017-12-03 | Vikings 14 — 9 Falcons | at ATL | Vikings |
| 2015 | 2015-11-29 | Vikings 20 — 10 Falcons | at ATL | Vikings |
| 2014 | 2014-09-28 | Falcons 28 — 41 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2011 | 2011-11-27 | Vikings 14 — 24 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2008 | 2008-12-21 | Falcons 24 — 17 Vikings | at MIN | Falcons |
| 2007 | 2007-09-09 | Falcons 3 — 24 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
Falcons leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 33/45, 479 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 22/39, 229 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 85 CAR, 494 YDS, 4 TD |
| Brian Robinson Jr. RB #15 | 44 CAR, 194 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Cooper Rush QB #13 | 2 CAR, 20 YDS | |
| Receiving | Drake London WR #5 | 20 REC, 370 YDS |
| Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 14 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jahan Dotson WR #4 | 6 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyle Pitts Sr. TE #8 | 5 REC, 67 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Xavier Watts S #31 | 24 |
| C.J. Henderson CB #26 | 23 | |
| Mike Hughes CB #21 | 19 | |
| Sacks | Za'Darius Smith DE #91 | 2.5 |
| Samson Ebukam DE #52 | 1.5 | |
| Cameron Thomas DE #99 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier Watts S #31 | 1 |
Vikings leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kyler Murray QB #1 | 45/71, 433 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT |
| Carson Wentz QB #11 | 23/39, 276 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Aaron Jones Sr. RB #33 | 72 CAR, 297 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jordan Mason RB #27 | 15 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyler Murray QB #1 | 10 CAR, 42 YDS | |
| Receiving | T.J. Hockenson TE #87 | 22 REC, 195 YDS, 1 TD |
| Justin Jefferson WR #18 | 13 REC, 179 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jordan Addison WR #3 | 11 REC, 163 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB #33 | 9 REC, 68 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Cashman LB #51 | 33 |
| Joshua Metellus S #44 | 25 | |
| Eric Wilson LB #55 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Dallas Turner LB #15 | 5.5 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel LB #43 | 3 | |
| Blake Cashman LB #51 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Andrew Van Ginkel LB #43 | 1 |
| Byron Murphy Jr. CB #7 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Rodgers CB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.