Wk 5 · 2026
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams — Mon, Oct 12
Mon, Oct 12 ·
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
· ESPN · ABC FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
8:15pET
LAR -3.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings opened -3 · 0.5 toward LAR
Ratings differential LAR by 0.6
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Bills form
W 37-34at LARL 26-29vs NEW 24-16vs LACW 41-31vs DETW 36-31at HOU
2026 season
Rams form
L 34-37vs BUFW 24-20at PHIL 26-30at DENW 28-6vs NYGL 7-27vs SF
2026 season
Bills this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Rams this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Bills | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Chargers AFC | vs W 24-16 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Raiders AFC | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Chiefs AFC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Broncos AFC | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview | at L 26-30 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Bills leads 5–2 · Bills won the last one
7 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
7.1 points toward Bills
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-12 | Bills 37 — 34 Rams | at LAR | Bills |
| 2024 | 2024-12-08 | Bills 42 — 44 Rams | at LAR | Rams |
| 2022 | 2022-09-08 | Bills 31 — 10 Rams | at LAR | Bills |
| 2020 | 2020-09-27 | Rams 32 — 35 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2016 | 2016-10-09 | Bills 30 — 19 Rams | at LAR | Bills |
| 2012 | 2012-12-09 | Rams 15 — 12 Bills | at BUF | Rams |
| 2008 | 2008-09-28 | Bills 31 — 14 Rams | at LAR | Bills |
Bills leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Josh Allen QB #17 | 79/119, 1039 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | James Cook III RB #4 | 70 CAR, 421 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josh Allen QB #17 | 33 CAR, 118 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Ray Davis RB #7 | 2 CAR, 6 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Kincaid TE #86 | 15 REC, 270 YDS, 1 TD |
| Keon Coleman WR #0 | 14 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD | |
| DJ Moore WR #2 | 12 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Khalil Shakir WR #10 | 15 REC, 176 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dorian Williams LB #42 | 32 |
| Terrel Bernard LB #8 | 29 | |
| Cole Bishop S #24 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Greg Rousseau LB #15 | 6 |
| Bradley Chubb LB #9 | 1.5 | |
| Deone Walker DT #96 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | C.J. Gardner-Johnson S #22 | 1 |
| Dee Alford CB #23 | 1 |
Rams leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Matthew Stafford QB #9 | 99/162, 1189 YDS, 6 TD, 6 INT |
| Stetson Bennett IV QB #13 | 2/3, 13 YDS | |
| Rushing | Kyren Williams RB #23 | 54 CAR, 294 YDS, 3 TD |
| Blake Corum RB #24 | 33 CAR, 162 YDS | |
| Matthew Stafford QB #9 | 11 CAR, 21 YDS | |
| Receiving | Davante Adams WR #17 | 22 REC, 390 YDS, 2 TD |
| Puka Nacua WR #12 | 14 REC, 199 YDS | |
| Kyren Williams RB #23 | 21 REC, 173 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Tyler Higbee TE #89 | 15 REC, 141 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Quentin Lake S #37 | 31 |
| Nate Landman LB #53 | 29 | |
| Omar Speights LB #48 | 19 | |
| Sacks | Byron Young LB #0 | 3.5 |
| Omar Speights LB #48 | 2 | |
| Wesley Bailey LB #47 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Quentin Lake S #37 | 1 |
| Trent McDuffie CB #22 | 1 | |
| Josh Wallace CB #30 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.