Wk 12 · 2026
Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills — Thu, Nov 26
Thu, Nov 26 ·
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
· NBC
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 41 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC West · 4-0
at
8:20pET
BUF -2.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential BUF by 2.3
AFC East · 4-1
What is at stake
An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Chiefs form
W 30-27at LVW 24-10at MIAW 33-30vs INDW 31-10vs DEN
2026 season
Bills form
W 37-34at LARL 26-29vs NEW 24-16vs LACW 41-31vs DETW 36-31at HOU
2026 season
Chiefs this season
Straight up4-0 · 100% (4 games)
Against the spread2-2 · 50% (4 games)
Over / under2-2 · 50% (4 games)
Bills this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Chiefs | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos AFC | vs W 31-10 preview | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview |
| Dolphins AFC | at W 24-10 preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Raiders AFC | at W 30-27 preview | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Chargers AFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | vs W 24-16 preview |
| Jets AFC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Rams NFC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at W 37-34 preview |
| Patriots AFC | vs Wk 15 · scheduled preview | vs L 26-29 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Bills leads 10–9 · Bills won the last one
19 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
3.6 points toward Bills
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-02 | Chiefs 21 — 28 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2024 | 2025-01-26 | Bills 29 — 32 Chiefs | at KC | Chiefs playoffs |
| 2024 | 2024-11-17 | Chiefs 21 — 30 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2023 | 2024-01-21 | Chiefs 27 — 24 Bills | at BUF | Chiefs playoffs |
| 2023 | 2023-12-10 | Bills 20 — 17 Chiefs | at KC | Bills |
| 2022 | 2022-10-16 | Bills 24 — 20 Chiefs | at KC | Bills |
| 2021 | 2022-01-23 | Bills 36 — 42 Chiefs | at KC | Chiefs playoffs |
| 2021 | 2021-10-10 | Bills 38 — 20 Chiefs | at KC | Bills |
| 2020 | 2021-01-24 | Bills 24 — 38 Chiefs | at KC | Chiefs playoffs |
| 2020 | 2020-10-19 | Chiefs 26 — 17 Bills | at BUF | Chiefs |
| 2017 | 2017-11-26 | Bills 16 — 10 Chiefs | at KC | Bills |
| 2015 | 2015-11-29 | Bills 22 — 30 Chiefs | at KC | Chiefs |
| 2014 | 2014-11-09 | Chiefs 17 — 13 Bills | at BUF | Chiefs |
| 2013 | 2013-11-03 | Chiefs 23 — 13 Bills | at BUF | Chiefs |
| 2012 | 2012-09-16 | Chiefs 17 — 35 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2011 | 2011-09-11 | Bills 41 — 7 Chiefs | at KC | Bills |
| 2010 | 2010-10-31 | Bills 10 — 13 Chiefs | at KC | Chiefs |
| 2009 | 2009-12-13 | Bills 16 — 10 Chiefs | at KC | Bills |
| 2008 | 2008-11-23 | Bills 54 — 31 Chiefs | at KC | Bills |
Chiefs leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Patrick Mahomes QB #15 | 82/128, 1037 YDS, 9 TD, 2 INT |
| Rushing | Kenneth Walker III RB #9 | 87 CAR, 537 YDS, 4 TD |
| Emmett Johnson RB #10 | 16 CAR, 56 YDS | |
| Patrick Mahomes QB #15 | 12 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Travis Kelce TE #87 | 16 REC, 246 YDS, 2 TD |
| Tyquan Thornton WR #2 | 11 REC, 219 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rashee Rice WR #4 | 13 REC, 190 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Xavier Worthy WR #1 | 14 REC, 133 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Nick Bolton LB #32 | 37 |
| Drue Tranquill LB #23 | 29 | |
| L'Jarius Sneed CB #38 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Nohl Williams CB #20 | 1 |
| Felix Anudike-Uzomah DE #91 | 1 | |
| R Mason Thomas DE #51 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Kristian Fulton CB #8 | 1 |
| George Karlaftis DE #56 | 1 | |
| Xavier Nwankpa S #29 | 1 |
Bills leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Josh Allen QB #17 | 79/119, 1039 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | James Cook III RB #4 | 70 CAR, 421 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josh Allen QB #17 | 33 CAR, 118 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Ray Davis RB #7 | 2 CAR, 6 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Kincaid TE #86 | 15 REC, 270 YDS, 1 TD |
| Keon Coleman WR #0 | 14 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD | |
| DJ Moore WR #2 | 12 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Khalil Shakir WR #10 | 15 REC, 176 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dorian Williams LB #42 | 32 |
| Terrel Bernard LB #8 | 29 | |
| Cole Bishop S #24 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Greg Rousseau LB #15 | 6 |
| Bradley Chubb LB #9 | 1.5 | |
| Deone Walker DT #96 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | C.J. Gardner-Johnson S #22 | 1 |
| Dee Alford CB #23 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.