Wk 6 · 2026
Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders — Sun, Oct 18
Sun, Oct 18 ·
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
· CBS
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
AFC East · 4-1
at
4:25pET
BUF -4.5 · total 53.5 DraftKings opened +6.5 · 2 toward LV
Ratings differential BUF by 5.5
AFC West · 3-2
What is at stake
An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Bills form
W 37-34at LARL 26-29vs NEW 24-16vs LACW 41-31vs DETW 36-31at HOU
2026 season
Raiders form
L 17-45at NEL 27-30vs KCW 35-27at NOW 26-14at LACW 27-13vs MIA
2026 season
Bills this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Raiders this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 7
| Opponent | Bills | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Chargers AFC | vs W 24-16 preview | at W 26-14 preview |
| Patriots AFC | vs L 26-29 preview | at L 17-45 preview |
| Rams NFC | at W 37-34 preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Jets AFC | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Dolphins AFC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs W 27-13 preview |
| Chiefs AFC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs L 27-30 preview |
| Broncos AFC | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Bills leads 5–2 · Bills has won the last 3
7 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.1 points toward Bills
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-09-17 | Raiders 10 — 38 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2020 | 2020-10-04 | Bills 30 — 23 Raiders | at LV | Bills |
| 2017 | 2017-10-29 | Raiders 14 — 34 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2016 | 2016-12-04 | Bills 24 — 38 Raiders | at LV | Raiders |
| 2014 | 2014-12-21 | Bills 24 — 26 Raiders | at LV | Raiders |
| 2011 | 2011-09-18 | Raiders 35 — 38 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2008 | 2008-09-21 | Raiders 23 — 24 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
Bills leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Josh Allen QB #17 | 79/119, 1039 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | James Cook III RB #4 | 70 CAR, 421 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josh Allen QB #17 | 33 CAR, 118 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Ray Davis RB #7 | 2 CAR, 6 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Kincaid TE #86 | 15 REC, 270 YDS, 1 TD |
| Keon Coleman WR #0 | 14 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD | |
| DJ Moore WR #2 | 12 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Khalil Shakir WR #10 | 15 REC, 176 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dorian Williams LB #42 | 32 |
| Terrel Bernard LB #8 | 29 | |
| Cole Bishop S #24 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Greg Rousseau LB #15 | 6 |
| Bradley Chubb LB #9 | 1.5 | |
| Deone Walker DT #96 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | C.J. Gardner-Johnson S #22 | 1 |
| Dee Alford CB #23 | 1 |
Raiders leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kirk Cousins QB #8 | 93/144, 1026 YDS, 11 TD, 4 INT |
| Rushing | Ashton Jeanty RB #2 | 78 CAR, 264 YDS |
| Mike Washington Jr. RB #30 | 24 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kirk Cousins QB #8 | 12 CAR, -2 YDS | |
| Receiving | Tre Tucker WR #1 | 15 REC, 233 YDS, 1 TD |
| Brock Bowers TE #89 | 16 REC, 202 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Michael Mayer TE #87 | 20 REC, 169 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Ashton Jeanty RB #2 | 19 REC, 165 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Nakobe Dean LB #17 | 32 |
| Quay Walker LB #7 | 30 | |
| Jeremy Chinn S #11 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Malcolm Koonce DE #51 | 2.5 |
| Maxx Crosby DE #98 | 2 | |
| Kwity Paye DE #95 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Hezekiah Masses CB #35 | 3 |
| Treydan Stukes S #31 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.