Wk 9 · 2026
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings — Mon, Nov 9
Mon, Nov 9 ·
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
· ESPN · ABC
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
AFC East · 4-1
at
8:15pET
BUF -3 · total 48.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MIN by 1.3
NFC North · 5-0
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Bills form
W 37-34at LARL 26-29vs NEW 24-16vs LACW 41-31vs DETW 36-31at HOU
2026 season
Vikings form
W 23-13at NOW 15-10vs MIAW 23-16at TBW 9-3at CHIW 39-22vs GB
2026 season
Bills this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Vikings this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Bills | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Lions NFC | vs W 41-31 preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Patriots AFC | vs L 26-29 preview | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Jets AFC | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 17 · scheduled preview |
| Dolphins AFC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs W 15-10 preview |
| Packers NFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | vs W 39-22 preview |
| Bears NFC | vs Wk 15 · scheduled preview | at W 9-3 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Bills leads 3–2 · Vikings won the last one
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.0 points either way
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022-11-13 | Vikings 33 — 30 Bills | at BUF | Vikings |
| 2018 | 2018-09-23 | Bills 27 — 6 Vikings | at MIN | Bills |
| 2014 | 2014-10-19 | Vikings 16 — 17 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2010 | 2010-12-05 | Bills 14 — 38 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2006 | 2006-10-01 | Vikings 12 — 17 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
Bills leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Josh Allen QB #17 | 79/119, 1039 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | James Cook III RB #4 | 70 CAR, 421 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josh Allen QB #17 | 33 CAR, 118 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Ray Davis RB #7 | 2 CAR, 6 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Kincaid TE #86 | 15 REC, 270 YDS, 1 TD |
| Keon Coleman WR #0 | 14 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD | |
| DJ Moore WR #2 | 12 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Khalil Shakir WR #10 | 15 REC, 176 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dorian Williams LB #42 | 32 |
| Terrel Bernard LB #8 | 29 | |
| Cole Bishop S #24 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Greg Rousseau LB #15 | 6 |
| Bradley Chubb LB #9 | 1.5 | |
| Deone Walker DT #96 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | C.J. Gardner-Johnson S #22 | 1 |
| Dee Alford CB #23 | 1 |
Vikings leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kyler Murray QB #1 | 45/71, 433 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT |
| Carson Wentz QB #11 | 23/39, 276 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Aaron Jones Sr. RB #33 | 72 CAR, 297 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jordan Mason RB #27 | 15 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyler Murray QB #1 | 10 CAR, 42 YDS | |
| Receiving | T.J. Hockenson TE #87 | 22 REC, 195 YDS, 1 TD |
| Justin Jefferson WR #18 | 13 REC, 179 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jordan Addison WR #3 | 11 REC, 163 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB #33 | 9 REC, 68 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Cashman LB #51 | 33 |
| Joshua Metellus S #44 | 25 | |
| Eric Wilson LB #55 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Dallas Turner LB #15 | 5.5 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel LB #43 | 3 | |
| Blake Cashman LB #51 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Andrew Van Ginkel LB #43 | 1 |
| Byron Murphy Jr. CB #7 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Rodgers CB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.