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Wk 11 · 2026

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills — Sun, Nov 22

Sun, Nov 22 · Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY · Fox

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 37 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Miami Dolphins
AFC East · 0-5
at
1:00pET
BUF -11.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential BUF by 12.3
Buffalo Bills
AFC East · 4-1

What is at stake

An AFC East game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the AFC East finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Dolphins: -5.9#30
Efficiency margin
Bills: +4.7#4
Dolphins: -4.3#31
Offense
Bills: +6.0#1
Dolphins: -1.5#25
Defense
Bills: -1.3#23
Dolphins: 20.4
Points / game
Bills: 28.3
Dolphins: 24.9
Points allowed / game
Bills: 21.5
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Dolphins form

L 24-31vs CINL 10-15at MINL 10-24vs KCL 13-35at SFL 13-27at LV
2026 season

Bills form

W 37-34at LARL 26-29vs NEW 24-16vs LACW 41-31vs DETW 36-31at HOU
2026 season

Dolphins this season

Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Bills this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 10

OpponentDolphinsBills
Raiders
AFC
at L 13-27 previewat Wk 6 · scheduled preview
Chiefs
AFC
vs L 10-24 previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Vikings
NFC
at L 10-15 previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Jets
AFC
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Patriots
AFC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs L 26-29 preview
Lions
NFC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs W 41-31 preview
Broncos
AFC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 16 · scheduled preview
Bears
NFC
vs Wk 14 · scheduled previewvs Wk 15 · scheduled preview
Packers
NFC
at Wk 15 · scheduled previewat Wk 14 · scheduled preview
Chargers
AFC
vs Wk 16 · scheduled previewvs W 24-16 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Bills leads 28–13 · Dolphins won the last one
41 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.9 points toward Bills
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-09Bills 13 — 30 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20252025-09-18Dolphins 21 — 31 Billsat BUFBills
20242024-11-03Dolphins 27 — 30 Billsat BUFBills
20242024-09-12Bills 31 — 10 Dolphinsat MIABills
20232024-01-07Bills 21 — 14 Dolphinsat MIABills
20232023-10-01Dolphins 20 — 48 Billsat BUFBills
20222023-01-15Dolphins 31 — 34 Billsat BUFBills playoffs
20222022-12-17Dolphins 29 — 32 Billsat BUFBills
20222022-09-25Bills 19 — 21 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20212021-10-31Dolphins 11 — 26 Billsat BUFBills
20212021-09-19Bills 35 — 0 Dolphinsat MIABills
20202021-01-03Dolphins 26 — 56 Billsat BUFBills
20202020-09-20Bills 31 — 28 Dolphinsat MIABills
20192019-11-17Bills 37 — 20 Dolphinsat MIABills
20192019-10-20Dolphins 21 — 31 Billsat BUFBills
20182018-12-30Dolphins 17 — 42 Billsat BUFBills
20182018-12-02Bills 17 — 21 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20172017-12-31Bills 22 — 16 Dolphinsat MIABills
20172017-12-17Dolphins 16 — 24 Billsat BUFBills
20162016-12-24Dolphins 34 — 31 Billsat BUFDolphins
20162016-10-23Bills 25 — 28 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20152015-11-08Dolphins 17 — 33 Billsat BUFBills
20152015-09-27Bills 41 — 14 Dolphinsat MIABills
20142014-11-13Bills 9 — 22 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20142014-09-14Dolphins 10 — 29 Billsat BUFBills
20132013-12-22Dolphins 0 — 19 Billsat BUFBills
20132013-10-20Bills 23 — 21 Dolphinsat MIABills
20122012-12-23Bills 10 — 24 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20122012-11-15Dolphins 14 — 19 Billsat BUFBills
20112011-12-18Dolphins 30 — 23 Billsat BUFDolphins
20112011-11-20Bills 8 — 35 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20102010-12-19Bills 17 — 14 Dolphinsat MIABills
20102010-09-12Dolphins 15 — 10 Billsat BUFDolphins
20092009-11-29Dolphins 14 — 31 Billsat BUFBills
20092009-10-04Bills 10 — 38 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20082008-12-07Dolphins 16 — 3 Billsat BUFDolphins
20082008-10-26Bills 16 — 25 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20072007-12-09Dolphins 17 — 38 Billsat BUFBills
20072007-11-11Bills 13 — 10 Dolphinsat MIABills
20062006-12-17Dolphins 0 — 21 Billsat BUFBills
20062006-09-17Bills 16 — 6 Dolphinsat MIABills

Dolphins leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMalik Willis QB #258/103, 712 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingOllie Gordon II RB #029 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD
De'Von Achane RB #2834 CAR, 127 YDS
Malik Willis QB #219 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingMalik Washington WR #617 REC, 219 YDS
Caleb Douglas WR #77 REC, 113 YDS
Ryan Miller WR #843 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Bell WR #185 REC, 92 YDS
Defense
TacklesJacob Rodriguez LB #1046
Jordyn Brooks LB #2035
Michael Taaffe S #3128
SacksZach Sieler DT #922
Josh Uche LB #91
Chop Robinson LB #441
InterceptionsDante Trader Jr. S #111
Jacob Rodriguez LB #101
Michael Taaffe S #311
full roster and per-player history

Bills leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJosh Allen QB #1779/119, 1039 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT
RushingJames Cook III RB #470 CAR, 421 YDS, 3 TD
Josh Allen QB #1733 CAR, 118 YDS, 7 TD
Ray Davis RB #72 CAR, 6 YDS
ReceivingDalton Kincaid TE #8615 REC, 270 YDS, 1 TD
Keon Coleman WR #014 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD
DJ Moore WR #212 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD
Khalil Shakir WR #1015 REC, 176 YDS
Defense
TacklesDorian Williams LB #4232
Terrel Bernard LB #829
Cole Bishop S #2425
SacksGreg Rousseau LB #156
Bradley Chubb LB #91.5
Deone Walker DT #961
InterceptionsC.J. Gardner-Johnson S #221
Dee Alford CB #231
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.