Wk 4 · 2026
Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings — Sun, Oct 4
Sun, Oct 4 ·
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
· Fox FINAL
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
at
4:05pET
MIN -10 · total 38.5 DraftKings opened -7.5 · 2.5 toward MIN
Ratings differential MIN by 11.9
What is at stake
An interconference game, AFC against NFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Dolphins form
L 24-31vs CINL 10-15at MINL 10-24vs KCL 13-35at SFL 13-27at LV
2026 season
Vikings form
W 23-13at NOW 15-10vs MIAW 23-16at TBW 9-3at CHIW 39-22vs GB
2026 season
Dolphins this season
Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Vikings this season
Straight up5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 8
| Opponent | Dolphins | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| 49ers NFC | at L 13-35 preview | N Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Jets AFC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 17 · scheduled preview |
| Patriots AFC | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Lions NFC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Colts AFC | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Bills AFC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | vs Wk 14 · scheduled preview | at W 9-3 preview |
| Packers NFC | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview | vs W 39-22 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, the series is level at 3–3 · Vikings has won the last 3
6 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.5 points toward Vikings
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-04 | Dolphins 10 — 15 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2022 | 2022-10-16 | Vikings 24 — 16 Dolphins | at MIA | Vikings |
| 2018 | 2018-12-16 | Dolphins 17 — 41 Vikings | at MIN | Vikings |
| 2014 | 2014-12-21 | Vikings 35 — 37 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2010 | 2010-09-19 | Dolphins 14 — 10 Vikings | at MIN | Dolphins |
| 2006 | 2006-11-19 | Vikings 20 — 24 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
Dolphins leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Malik Willis QB #2 | 58/103, 712 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT |
| Rushing | Ollie Gordon II RB #0 | 29 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD |
| De'Von Achane RB #28 | 34 CAR, 127 YDS | |
| Malik Willis QB #2 | 19 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Malik Washington WR #6 | 17 REC, 219 YDS |
| Caleb Douglas WR #7 | 7 REC, 113 YDS | |
| Ryan Miller WR #84 | 3 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Chris Bell WR #18 | 5 REC, 92 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jacob Rodriguez LB #10 | 46 |
| Jordyn Brooks LB #20 | 35 | |
| Michael Taaffe S #31 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Zach Sieler DT #92 | 2 |
| Josh Uche LB #9 | 1 | |
| Chop Robinson LB #44 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Dante Trader Jr. S #11 | 1 |
| Jacob Rodriguez LB #10 | 1 | |
| Michael Taaffe S #31 | 1 |
Vikings leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kyler Murray QB #1 | 45/71, 433 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT |
| Carson Wentz QB #11 | 23/39, 276 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Rushing | Aaron Jones Sr. RB #33 | 72 CAR, 297 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jordan Mason RB #27 | 15 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kyler Murray QB #1 | 10 CAR, 42 YDS | |
| Receiving | T.J. Hockenson TE #87 | 22 REC, 195 YDS, 1 TD |
| Justin Jefferson WR #18 | 13 REC, 179 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jordan Addison WR #3 | 11 REC, 163 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB #33 | 9 REC, 68 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Blake Cashman LB #51 | 33 |
| Joshua Metellus S #44 | 25 | |
| Eric Wilson LB #55 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Dallas Turner LB #15 | 5.5 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel LB #43 | 3 | |
| Blake Cashman LB #51 | 2.5 | |
| Interceptions | Andrew Van Ginkel LB #43 | 1 |
| Byron Murphy Jr. CB #7 | 1 | |
| Isaiah Rodgers CB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.