Wk 15 · 2026
Chicago Bears at Buffalo Bills — Sat, Dec 19
Sat, Dec 19 ·
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
· CBS
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 64 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
NFC North · 3-2
at
8:20pET
BUF -3.5 · total 51.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential BUF by 3.1
AFC East · 4-1
What is at stake
An interconference game, NFC against AFC. It counts in both overall records — which is what seeding is settled on first — and in neither team’s division or conference record.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Bears form
L 7-31at GBW 23-12vs NYJW 27-7vs PHIL 3-9vs MINW 59-37at CAR
2026 season
Bills form
W 37-34at LARL 26-29vs NEW 24-16vs LACW 41-31vs DETW 36-31at HOU
2026 season
Bears this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Bills this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Bears | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Vikings NFC | vs L 3-9 preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Jets AFC | vs W 23-12 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | at L 7-31 preview | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Patriots AFC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs L 26-29 preview |
| Lions NFC | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs W 41-31 preview |
| Dolphins AFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Bears leads 3–2 · Bills won the last one
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
8.6 points toward Bears
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022-12-24 | Bills 35 — 13 Bears | at CHI | Bills |
| 2018 | 2018-11-04 | Bears 41 — 9 Bills | at BUF | Bears |
| 2014 | 2014-09-07 | Bills 23 — 20 Bears | at CHI | Bills |
| 2010 | 2010-11-07 | Bears 22 — 19 Bills | at BUF | Bears |
| 2006 | 2006-10-08 | Bills 7 — 40 Bears | at CHI | Bears |
Bears leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Caleb Williams QB #18 | 36/55, 407 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT |
| Tyson Bagent QB #17 | 30/43, 322 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Kyle Monangai RB #25 | 60 CAR, 324 YDS, 3 TD |
| D'Andre Swift RB #4 | 69 CAR, 311 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Caleb Williams QB #18 | 15 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Receiving | Rome Odunze WR #15 | 14 REC, 233 YDS |
| Kalif Raymond WR #14 | 21 REC, 220 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Luther Burden III WR #10 | 19 REC, 219 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Colston Loveland TE #84 | 11 REC, 91 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dillon Thieneman S #31 | 30 |
| Devin Bush LB #12 | 19 | |
| Tyrique Stevenson CB #29 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Dayo Odeyingbo DE #55 | 3 |
| Montez Sweat DE #98 | 2 | |
| Austin Booker DE #94 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | T.J. Edwards LB #53 | 1 |
| Malik Muhammad CB #24 | 1 | |
| Dillon Thieneman S #31 | 1 |
Bills leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Josh Allen QB #17 | 79/119, 1039 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | James Cook III RB #4 | 70 CAR, 421 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josh Allen QB #17 | 33 CAR, 118 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Ray Davis RB #7 | 2 CAR, 6 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Kincaid TE #86 | 15 REC, 270 YDS, 1 TD |
| Keon Coleman WR #0 | 14 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD | |
| DJ Moore WR #2 | 12 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Khalil Shakir WR #10 | 15 REC, 176 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dorian Williams LB #42 | 32 |
| Terrel Bernard LB #8 | 29 | |
| Cole Bishop S #24 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Greg Rousseau LB #15 | 6 |
| Bradley Chubb LB #9 | 1.5 | |
| Deone Walker DT #96 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | C.J. Gardner-Johnson S #22 | 1 |
| Dee Alford CB #23 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.