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Wk 16 · 2026

Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins — Sun, Dec 27

Sun, Dec 27 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL · Fox

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 72 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC West · 0-5
at
1:00pET
LAC -7 · total 45.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential LAC by 0.7
AFC East · 0-5

What is at stake

An AFC game between two divisions. It decides neither division, but conference record is the tiebreaker that follows head-to-head, and both of these are chasing the same 7 AFC playoff places. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Chargers: -3.5#26
Efficiency margin
Dolphins: -5.9#30
Chargers: -3.6#29
Offense
Dolphins: -4.3#31
Chargers: +0.1#15
Defense
Dolphins: -1.5#25
Chargers: 21.6
Points / game
Dolphins: 20.4
Chargers: 20.0
Points allowed / game
Dolphins: 24.9
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Chargers form

L 17-23vs DENL 23-30at SEAL 16-24at BUFL 14-26vs LVL 14-26vs ARI
2026 season

Dolphins form

L 24-31vs CINL 10-15at MINL 10-24vs KCL 13-35at SFL 13-27at LV
2026 season

Chargers this season

Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread0-4-1 · 0% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

Dolphins this season

Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 7

OpponentChargersDolphins
Raiders
AFC
vs L 14-26 previewat L 13-27 preview
Bills
AFC
at L 16-24 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Broncos
AFC
vs L 17-23 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Chiefs
AFC
at Wk 6 · scheduled previewvs L 10-24 preview
Jets
AFC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Patriots
AFC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
49ers
NFC
vs Wk 15 · scheduled previewat L 13-35 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Dolphins leads 7–6 · Chargers won the last one
13 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.2 points toward Dolphins
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-12Chargers 29 — 27 Dolphinsat MIAChargers
20232023-09-10Dolphins 36 — 34 Chargersat LACDolphins
20222022-12-11Dolphins 17 — 23 Chargersat LACChargers
20202020-11-15Chargers 21 — 29 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20192019-09-29Chargers 30 — 10 Dolphinsat MIAChargers
20172017-09-17Dolphins 19 — 17 Chargersat LACDolphins
20162016-11-13Dolphins 31 — 24 Chargersat LACDolphins
20152015-12-20Dolphins 14 — 30 Chargersat LACChargers
20142014-11-02Chargers 0 — 37 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20132013-11-17Chargers 16 — 20 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20112011-10-02Dolphins 16 — 26 Chargersat LACChargers
20092009-09-27Dolphins 13 — 23 Chargersat LACChargers
20082008-10-05Chargers 10 — 17 Dolphinsat MIADolphins

Chargers leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJustin Herbert QB #1071/119, 816 YDS, 4 TD, 6 INT
Tre' Harris WR #90/1, 0 YDS
RushingOmarion Hampton RB #859 CAR, 238 YDS, 3 TD
Keaton Mitchell RB #3427 CAR, 124 YDS
Justin Herbert QB #1018 CAR, 88 YDS
ReceivingTre' Harris WR #913 REC, 209 YDS
Ladd McConkey WR #1512 REC, 183 YDS, 1 TD
Quentin Johnston WR #17 REC, 108 YDS
Oronde Gadsden TE #869 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesDaiyan Henley LB #026
Del'Shawn Phillips LB #5324
Derwin James Jr. S #321
SacksKhalil Mack LB #523
Tuli Tuipulotu LB #452
Troy Dye LB #431.5
InterceptionsGenesis Smith S #222
Cam Hart CB #201
Tuli Tuipulotu LB #451

Dolphins leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMalik Willis QB #258/103, 712 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingOllie Gordon II RB #029 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD
De'Von Achane RB #2834 CAR, 127 YDS
Malik Willis QB #219 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingMalik Washington WR #617 REC, 219 YDS
Caleb Douglas WR #77 REC, 113 YDS
Ryan Miller WR #843 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Bell WR #185 REC, 92 YDS
Defense
TacklesJacob Rodriguez LB #1046
Jordyn Brooks LB #2035
Michael Taaffe S #3128
SacksZach Sieler DT #922
Josh Uche LB #91
Chop Robinson LB #441
InterceptionsDante Trader Jr. S #111
Jacob Rodriguez LB #101
Michael Taaffe S #311
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.