Wk 16 · 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons — Sun, Dec 27
Sun, Dec 27 ·
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
NFC South · no games yet
at
TBDET
TB -1.5 · total 45.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential TB by 1.0
NFC South · no games yet
What is at stake
An NFC South game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the NFC South finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings. Flex Game: 12/26 or 12/27.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Buccaneers form
No completed games on record.
Falcons form
No completed games on record.
Buccaneers this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Falcons this season
No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 10
| Opponent | Buccaneers | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Bengals AFC | at Wk 1 · scheduled preview | N Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Browns AFC | vs Wk 2 · scheduled preview | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Vikings NFC | vs Wk 3 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Packers NFC | vs Wk 4 · scheduled preview | at Wk 3 · scheduled preview |
| Steelers AFC | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at Wk 1 · scheduled preview |
| Panthers NFC | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 2 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 6 · scheduled preview |
| Lions NFC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Ravens AFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 5 · scheduled preview |
| Saints NFC | vs Wk 15 · scheduled preview | at Wk 4 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Falcons leads 23–17 · Falcons won the last one
40 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
0.3 points toward Falcons
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-12-11 | Falcons 29 — 28 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2025 | 2025-09-07 | Buccaneers 23 — 20 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2024 | 2024-10-27 | Falcons 31 — 26 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2024 | 2024-10-03 | Buccaneers 30 — 36 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2023 | 2023-12-10 | Buccaneers 29 — 25 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2023 | 2023-10-22 | Falcons 16 — 13 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2022 | 2023-01-08 | Buccaneers 17 — 30 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2022 | 2022-10-09 | Falcons 15 — 21 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2021 | 2021-12-05 | Buccaneers 30 — 17 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2021 | 2021-09-19 | Falcons 25 — 48 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2020 | 2021-01-03 | Falcons 27 — 44 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2020 | 2020-12-20 | Buccaneers 31 — 27 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2019 | 2019-12-29 | Falcons 28 — 22 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2019 | 2019-11-24 | Buccaneers 35 — 22 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2018 | 2018-12-30 | Falcons 34 — 32 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2018 | 2018-10-14 | Buccaneers 29 — 34 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2017 | 2017-12-18 | Falcons 24 — 21 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2017 | 2017-11-26 | Buccaneers 20 — 34 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2016 | 2016-11-03 | Falcons 43 — 28 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2016 | 2016-09-11 | Buccaneers 31 — 24 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2015 | 2015-12-06 | Falcons 19 — 23 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2015 | 2015-11-01 | Buccaneers 23 — 20 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2014 | 2014-11-09 | Falcons 27 — 17 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2014 | 2014-09-18 | Buccaneers 14 — 56 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2013 | 2013-11-17 | Falcons 28 — 41 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2013 | 2013-10-20 | Buccaneers 23 — 31 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2012 | 2012-12-30 | Buccaneers 22 — 17 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2012 | 2012-11-25 | Falcons 24 — 23 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2011 | 2012-01-01 | Buccaneers 24 — 45 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2011 | 2011-09-25 | Falcons 13 — 16 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2010 | 2010-12-05 | Falcons 28 — 24 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2010 | 2010-11-07 | Buccaneers 21 — 27 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2009 | 2010-01-03 | Falcons 20 — 10 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2009 | 2009-11-29 | Buccaneers 17 — 20 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2008 | 2008-12-14 | Buccaneers 10 — 13 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
| 2008 | 2008-09-14 | Falcons 9 — 24 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2007 | 2007-12-16 | Falcons 3 — 37 Buccaneers | at TB | Buccaneers |
| 2007 | 2007-11-18 | Buccaneers 31 — 7 Falcons | at ATL | Buccaneers |
| 2006 | 2006-12-10 | Falcons 17 — 6 Buccaneers | at TB | Falcons |
| 2006 | 2006-09-17 | Buccaneers 3 — 14 Falcons | at ATL | Falcons |
Buccaneers leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Baker Mayfield QB #6 | 343/543, 3693 YDS, 26 TD, 11 INT |
| Teddy Bridgewater QB #5 | 8/15, 62 YDS | |
| Rushing | Bucky Irving RB #7 | 173 CAR, 588 YDS, 1 TD |
| Rachaad White RB #1 | 132 CAR, 572 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Baker Mayfield QB #6 | 55 CAR, 382 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Emeka Egbuka WR #2 | 63 REC, 938 YDS, 6 TD |
| Cade Otton TE #88 | 59 REC, 572 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Sterling Shepard WR #15 | 39 REC, 371 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Mike Evans WR #5 | 30 REC, 368 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Lavonte David LB #54 | 114 |
| SirVocea Dennis LB #8 | 101 | |
| Tykee Smith S #23 | 100 | |
| Sacks | Yaya Diaby LB #0 | 7 |
| Vita Vea DT #50 | 4.5 | |
| Lavonte David LB #54 | 3.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jamel Dean CB #35 | 3 |
| Antoine Winfield Jr. S #31 | 2 | |
| Jacob Parrish CB #25 | 2 |
Falcons leaders 2025 regular season
| Passing | Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 166/276, 1982 YDS, 9 TD, 3 INT |
| Kirk Cousins QB #8 | 166/269, 1721 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT | |
| Rushing | Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 287 CAR, 1478 YDS, 7 TD |
| Tyler Allgeier RB #22 | 143 CAR, 514 YDS, 8 TD | |
| Michael Penix Jr. QB #9 | 21 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE #8 | 88 REC, 928 YDS, 5 TD |
| Drake London WR #5 | 68 REC, 919 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Bijan Robinson RB #7 | 79 REC, 820 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Darnell Mooney WR #17 | 32 REC, 443 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Kaden Elliss LB #55 | 107 |
| Jessie Bates III S #3 | 98 | |
| Xavier Watts S #31 | 96 | |
| Sacks | James Pearce Jr. LB #27 | 10.5 |
| Brandon Dorlus DT #54 | 8.5 | |
| Jalon Walker LB #11 | 5.5 | |
| Interceptions | Xavier Watts S #31 | 5 |
| Jessie Bates III S #3 | 3 | |
| Dee Alford CB #23 | 3 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.