Wk 17 · 2026
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — Sun, Jan 3
Sun, Jan 3 ·
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
· CBS
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 79 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
AFC East · 4-1
at
1:00pET
BUF -7.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential BUF by 8.9
AFC East · 0-5
What is at stake
An AFC East game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the AFC East finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
1.7 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have
been through a draft and a free-agency window since.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense
Defense
Points / game
Points allowed / game
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats
The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.
Bills form
W 37-34at LARL 26-29vs NEW 24-16vs LACW 41-31vs DETW 36-31at HOU
2026 season
Dolphins form
L 24-31vs CINL 10-15at MINL 10-24vs KCL 13-35at SFL 13-27at LV
2026 season
Bills this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Dolphins this season
Straight up0-5 · 0% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 10
| Opponent | Bills | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Lions NFC | vs W 41-31 preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Chargers AFC | vs W 24-16 preview | vs Wk 16 · scheduled preview |
| Patriots AFC | vs L 26-29 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Raiders AFC | at Wk 6 · scheduled preview | at L 13-27 preview |
| Vikings NFC | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at L 10-15 preview |
| Jets AFC | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Chiefs AFC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs L 10-24 preview |
| Packers NFC | at Wk 14 · scheduled preview | at Wk 15 · scheduled preview |
| Bears NFC | vs Wk 15 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 14 · scheduled preview |
| Broncos AFC | at Wk 16 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Bills leads 28–13 · Dolphins won the last one
41 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
5.9 points toward Bills
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-09 | Bills 13 — 30 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2025 | 2025-09-18 | Dolphins 21 — 31 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2024 | 2024-11-03 | Dolphins 27 — 30 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2024 | 2024-09-12 | Bills 31 — 10 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2023 | 2024-01-07 | Bills 21 — 14 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2023 | 2023-10-01 | Dolphins 20 — 48 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2022 | 2023-01-15 | Dolphins 31 — 34 Bills | at BUF | Bills playoffs |
| 2022 | 2022-12-17 | Dolphins 29 — 32 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2022 | 2022-09-25 | Bills 19 — 21 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2021 | 2021-10-31 | Dolphins 11 — 26 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2021 | 2021-09-19 | Bills 35 — 0 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2020 | 2021-01-03 | Dolphins 26 — 56 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2020 | 2020-09-20 | Bills 31 — 28 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2019 | 2019-11-17 | Bills 37 — 20 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2019 | 2019-10-20 | Dolphins 21 — 31 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2018 | 2018-12-30 | Dolphins 17 — 42 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2018 | 2018-12-02 | Bills 17 — 21 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2017 | 2017-12-31 | Bills 22 — 16 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2017 | 2017-12-17 | Dolphins 16 — 24 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2016 | 2016-12-24 | Dolphins 34 — 31 Bills | at BUF | Dolphins |
| 2016 | 2016-10-23 | Bills 25 — 28 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2015 | 2015-11-08 | Dolphins 17 — 33 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2015 | 2015-09-27 | Bills 41 — 14 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2014 | 2014-11-13 | Bills 9 — 22 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2014 | 2014-09-14 | Dolphins 10 — 29 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2013 | 2013-12-22 | Dolphins 0 — 19 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2013 | 2013-10-20 | Bills 23 — 21 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2012 | 2012-12-23 | Bills 10 — 24 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2012 | 2012-11-15 | Dolphins 14 — 19 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2011 | 2011-12-18 | Dolphins 30 — 23 Bills | at BUF | Dolphins |
| 2011 | 2011-11-20 | Bills 8 — 35 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2010 | 2010-12-19 | Bills 17 — 14 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2010 | 2010-09-12 | Dolphins 15 — 10 Bills | at BUF | Dolphins |
| 2009 | 2009-11-29 | Dolphins 14 — 31 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2009 | 2009-10-04 | Bills 10 — 38 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2008 | 2008-12-07 | Dolphins 16 — 3 Bills | at BUF | Dolphins |
| 2008 | 2008-10-26 | Bills 16 — 25 Dolphins | at MIA | Dolphins |
| 2007 | 2007-12-09 | Dolphins 17 — 38 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2007 | 2007-11-11 | Bills 13 — 10 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
| 2006 | 2006-12-17 | Dolphins 0 — 21 Bills | at BUF | Bills |
| 2006 | 2006-09-17 | Bills 16 — 6 Dolphins | at MIA | Bills |
Bills leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Josh Allen QB #17 | 79/119, 1039 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT |
| Rushing | James Cook III RB #4 | 70 CAR, 421 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josh Allen QB #17 | 33 CAR, 118 YDS, 7 TD | |
| Ray Davis RB #7 | 2 CAR, 6 YDS | |
| Receiving | Dalton Kincaid TE #86 | 15 REC, 270 YDS, 1 TD |
| Keon Coleman WR #0 | 14 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD | |
| DJ Moore WR #2 | 12 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Khalil Shakir WR #10 | 15 REC, 176 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Dorian Williams LB #42 | 32 |
| Terrel Bernard LB #8 | 29 | |
| Cole Bishop S #24 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Greg Rousseau LB #15 | 6 |
| Bradley Chubb LB #9 | 1.5 | |
| Deone Walker DT #96 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | C.J. Gardner-Johnson S #22 | 1 |
| Dee Alford CB #23 | 1 |
Dolphins leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Malik Willis QB #2 | 58/103, 712 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT |
| Rushing | Ollie Gordon II RB #0 | 29 CAR, 148 YDS, 2 TD |
| De'Von Achane RB #28 | 34 CAR, 127 YDS | |
| Malik Willis QB #2 | 19 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Malik Washington WR #6 | 17 REC, 219 YDS |
| Caleb Douglas WR #7 | 7 REC, 113 YDS | |
| Ryan Miller WR #84 | 3 REC, 92 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Chris Bell WR #18 | 5 REC, 92 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jacob Rodriguez LB #10 | 46 |
| Jordyn Brooks LB #20 | 35 | |
| Michael Taaffe S #31 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Zach Sieler DT #92 | 2 |
| Josh Uche LB #9 | 1 | |
| Chop Robinson LB #44 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Dante Trader Jr. S #11 | 1 |
| Jacob Rodriguez LB #10 | 1 | |
| Michael Taaffe S #31 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.