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Wk 17 · 2026

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins — Sun, Jan 3

Sun, Jan 3 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL · CBS

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 128 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Buffalo Bills
AFC East · no games yet
at
1:00pET
BUF -7.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential BUF by 9.7
Miami Dolphins
AFC East · no games yet

What is at stake

An AFC East game. These two play each other twice a season, home and away, and when the AFC East finishes level it is the head-to-head result and then the division record that separate them — before any of the rest. Division standings.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The Gridiron King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 1.7 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two rosters that have been through a draft and a free-agency window since.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Bills: +4.9#2
Efficiency margin
Dolphins: -6.5#31
Bills: +4.6#1
Offense
Dolphins: -3.8#30
Bills: +0.2#14
Defense
Dolphins: -2.7#31
Bills: 28.3
Points / game
Dolphins: 20.4
Bills: 21.5
Points allowed / game
Dolphins: 24.9
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The Gridiron King’s 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats

The box-score store these rows are built from has not been produced for this league yet, so no preview carries points and yards for and against. The form, trend and series blocks below are built from this site’s own files and are not affected.

Bills form

No completed games on record.

Dolphins form

No completed games on record.

Bills this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.

Dolphins this season

No graded games yet this season. Lines are captured before kickoff and graded when a game goes final, so these records start at Week 1.
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 10

OpponentBillsDolphins
Lions
NFC
vs Wk 2 · scheduled previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Chargers
AFC
vs Wk 3 · scheduled previewvs Wk 16 · scheduled preview
Patriots
AFC
vs Wk 4 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Raiders
AFC
at Wk 6 · scheduled previewat Wk 1 · scheduled preview
Vikings
NFC
at Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 4 · scheduled preview
Jets
AFC
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Chiefs
AFC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 3 · scheduled preview
Packers
NFC
at Wk 14 · scheduled previewat Wk 15 · scheduled preview
Bears
NFC
vs Wk 15 · scheduled previewvs Wk 14 · scheduled preview
Broncos
AFC
at Wk 16 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Bills leads 28–13 · Dolphins won the last one
41 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.9 points toward Bills
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-09Bills 13 — 30 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20252025-09-18Dolphins 21 — 31 Billsat BUFBills
20242024-11-03Dolphins 27 — 30 Billsat BUFBills
20242024-09-12Bills 31 — 10 Dolphinsat MIABills
20232024-01-07Bills 21 — 14 Dolphinsat MIABills
20232023-10-01Dolphins 20 — 48 Billsat BUFBills
20222023-01-15Dolphins 31 — 34 Billsat BUFBills playoffs
20222022-12-17Dolphins 29 — 32 Billsat BUFBills
20222022-09-25Bills 19 — 21 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20212021-10-31Dolphins 11 — 26 Billsat BUFBills
20212021-09-19Bills 35 — 0 Dolphinsat MIABills
20202021-01-03Dolphins 26 — 56 Billsat BUFBills
20202020-09-20Bills 31 — 28 Dolphinsat MIABills
20192019-11-17Bills 37 — 20 Dolphinsat MIABills
20192019-10-20Dolphins 21 — 31 Billsat BUFBills
20182018-12-30Dolphins 17 — 42 Billsat BUFBills
20182018-12-02Bills 17 — 21 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20172017-12-31Bills 22 — 16 Dolphinsat MIABills
20172017-12-17Dolphins 16 — 24 Billsat BUFBills
20162016-12-24Dolphins 34 — 31 Billsat BUFDolphins
20162016-10-23Bills 25 — 28 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20152015-11-08Dolphins 17 — 33 Billsat BUFBills
20152015-09-27Bills 41 — 14 Dolphinsat MIABills
20142014-11-13Bills 9 — 22 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20142014-09-14Dolphins 10 — 29 Billsat BUFBills
20132013-12-22Dolphins 0 — 19 Billsat BUFBills
20132013-10-20Bills 23 — 21 Dolphinsat MIABills
20122012-12-23Bills 10 — 24 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20122012-11-15Dolphins 14 — 19 Billsat BUFBills
20112011-12-18Dolphins 30 — 23 Billsat BUFDolphins
20112011-11-20Bills 8 — 35 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20102010-12-19Bills 17 — 14 Dolphinsat MIABills
20102010-09-12Dolphins 15 — 10 Billsat BUFDolphins
20092009-11-29Dolphins 14 — 31 Billsat BUFBills
20092009-10-04Bills 10 — 38 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20082008-12-07Dolphins 16 — 3 Billsat BUFDolphins
20082008-10-26Bills 16 — 25 Dolphinsat MIADolphins
20072007-12-09Dolphins 17 — 38 Billsat BUFBills
20072007-11-11Bills 13 — 10 Dolphinsat MIABills
20062006-12-17Dolphins 0 — 21 Billsat BUFBills
20062006-09-17Bills 16 — 6 Dolphinsat MIABills

Bills leaders 2025 regular season

PassingJosh Allen QB #17319/460, 3668 YDS, 25 TD, 10 INT
Mitchell Trubisky QB #1025/35, 313 YDS, 4 TD
RushingJames Cook III RB #4309 CAR, 1621 YDS, 12 TD
Josh Allen QB #17112 CAR, 579 YDS, 14 TD
Ray Davis RB #758 CAR, 275 YDS
ReceivingKhalil Shakir WR #1072 REC, 719 YDS, 4 TD
Dalton Kincaid TE #8639 REC, 571 YDS, 5 TD
Dawson Knox TE #8836 REC, 417 YDS, 4 TD
Keon Coleman WR #038 REC, 404 YDS, 4 TD
Defense
TacklesCole Bishop S #2485
Jordan Poyer S #2170
Matt Milano LB #5867
SacksGreg Rousseau LB #157
Joey Bosa DE #975
Matt Milano LB #583.5
InterceptionsCole Bishop S #243
AJ Epenesa DE #572
Christian Benford CB #472
full roster and per-player history

Dolphins leaders 2025 regular season

PassingTua Tagovailoa QB #1260/384, 2660 YDS, 20 TD, 15 INT
Quinn Ewers QB #1455/83, 622 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
RushingDe'Von Achane RB #28238 CAR, 1350 YDS, 8 TD
Jaylen Wright RB #570 CAR, 288 YDS, 2 TD
Ollie Gordon II RB #070 CAR, 199 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingJaylen Waddle WR #1764 REC, 910 YDS, 6 TD
De'Von Achane RB #2867 REC, 488 YDS, 4 TD
Greg Dulcich TE #8526 REC, 335 YDS, 1 TD
Malik Washington WR #646 REC, 317 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesJordyn Brooks LB #20183
Tyrel Dodson LB #25129
Minkah Fitzpatrick S #2982
SacksBradley Chubb LB #98.5
Zach Sieler DT #925.5
Tyrel Dodson LB #255
InterceptionsRasul Douglas CB #312
Ashtyn Davis S #291
Minkah Fitzpatrick S #291
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since signed elsewhere, been traded or retired still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game.